Each newly elected public servant has a set of priorities. Among local government officials, the list typically includes affordable housing. While the focus is deserved, the discussion of housing affordability usually misses the mark.
Homeownership across Minnesota has declined in recent years, from nearly 75 percent to approximately 70 percent. Newly employed millennials saddled with college debt are often held back from purchasing a home.
Adding to the challenge here in Minnesota is the fact that the state stands out with substantially higher state and local government regulatory costs. According to media reports, the same home costs some $20,000 more to construct in Minnesota than in Wisconsin, and similar comparisons play out for other neighboring states.
The National Association of Homebuilders has determined that regulatory costs comprise approximately 25 percent of the total price of a new home. These costs are not borne by the builder but instead are passed along to the home buyer. The impact is dramatic. Ten years ago, more than 70 percent of the new-housing market in the Twin Cities consisted of homes costing less than $325,000. Today, only about a third of new homes fall below that price point.
Many people think the only way to create affordable housing is to devote large public subsidies to buy down the cost of a few projects. In fact, tens of millions of dollars are spent each year in Minnesota for this purpose; Gov. Mark Dayton proposes about $100 million for affordable housing as part of his 2018 bonding proposal. Such contributions, while well-intended and valuable to the beneficiaries, result in too few affordable-housing units to make a real difference, often at a disproportionate cost to taxpayers.
The largest unmet need for single-family housing in Minnesota and around the country is the entry-level home for the first-time buyer. Homebuilders would flock to serve this market if the economics of building such homes were addressed.
From this vantage point, "affordability" must truly be the goal, with our focus on that large segment of the population who desire to own their own home but have incomes too high for public subsidy yet too low to purchase an entry-level home at current costs. Targeting this population will require real courage by elected officials, as it will compel them to actually take tangible steps to help contain housing costs.
In the interest of spurring earnest (and honest) discussion about how best to support the construction of more housing that is actually affordable to more Minnesotans, I offer the following outline of major obstacles based on several decades of advising private housing developers and contractors: