Minnesota, one of the nation's busiest resettlement destinations, is aiming to keep its refugee arrivals steady in 2017.
Faced with a housing shortage and other constraints, the state is forgoing a larger role in an almost 30 percent national increase the Obama administration announced earlier this fall.
Now, that Obama goal and the nation's longer-term approach are in question as a Donald Trump administration prepares to take over. On the campaign trail, Trump pledged to pause resettlement from "terror-prone regions" and took aim at Somali refugees in Minnesota. But he has not addressed the overall number of refugees the country resettles each year.
"There is complete and total uncertainty," said Eric Schwartz, dean of the University of Minnesota's Humphrey School of Public Affairs and a former federal official who oversaw refugee admissions in the Obama administration.
In the fiscal year that ended in September, Minnesota took in 2,630 refugees, a 15 percent increase over previous year. Numbers have steadily rebounded from a low of 990 in 2009.
At a time when more people have been displaced than at any point in recent history, the Obama administration increased national refugee admissions from 70,000 to 85,000 last fiscal year.
A big push to hit that goal played out nationally in the final weeks of the fiscal year. Local affiliates of the private resettlement agencies that contract with the federal government can exceed their target for the year by 10 percent without revising those contracts; many of the five Twin Cities-based affiliates did.
Ben Walen, the refugee services director at the Minnesota Council of Churches, said federal officials inquired in September whether the agency could go even further beyond the planned number. The agency said no.