Downtown Minneapolis is hot, six years into the economic recovery.
Here are a few trends, courtesy of data from the Downtown Council, information from companies and interpretation from commercial real estate veterans Russ Nelson and Anna Coskran of downtown-based NTH.
There are nearly 40,000 downtown residents, more than the population of most Minnesota municipalities. The workforce is estimated at 140,000 to 170,000.
Downtown's 15 largest employers range from Target (7,500) to the Federal Reserve Bank (1,015). However, the trend is flat to negative among big employers. Target has declined from 12,000 three years ago, a result of restructuring-related layoffs and transfers to its Brooklyn Park campus. And Ameriprise Financial has declined by a couple of hundred to about 5,000.
Nelson and Coskran say the big tenants, including Target, haven't given up much space to subtenants. And workstations in open floor plans with fewer private offices are serving more employees with less space. So, no growth from the giants is foreseen.
Still, about 200,000 square feet of net office space was absorbed last year. The recent occupancy growth is led by small firms that employ a few dozen to hundreds. And most are not household names.
They include the expanding likes of software firms Code42 in Riverplace; JAMF, moving into the refurbished Washington Square complex; and Ability Network in Butler Square. They also include SPS Commerce, Calabrio, YA, Colle+McVoy, Weber Shandwick, CBRE, Varde Partners, and other digital-marketing, technology, software, specialty food and other small businesses jamming historic structures like the TractorWorks building in the Warehouse District, lately known as the North Loop.
There is 1.5 million square feet of office space under construction, including the Xcel Energy headquarters and Wells Fargo buildings. It will take a lot more growth to fill the space left vacant by these moves.