Seattle – Beneath a shiny glass skyscraper in the heart of Amazon-land is an experimental 1,800-square-foot store that some see as a blueprint for the future.
"No lines. No checkout," it says on a wall inside Amazon Go, a convenience store that has no cashiers. Instead, you have to scan your phone to enter, and a web of cameras on the ceiling uses computer vision and sensor technology to detect when you take, or return, items from a shelf and electronically charge them to your account minutes after you leave.
It may be many years before the concept goes mainstream, especially since the cost to install such sophisticated technology remains out of reach for retailers like Target and Walmart that don't have the luxury or resources to experiment in the way Amazon does.
But most analysts agree that physical shopping, like manufacturing before it, is heading toward more automation. You can see the transition already with more self-checkout lanes and newer scan-and-go options.
"I've gotten used to checking myself in when I travel to the point where you don't really have to talk to anyone when you go to the airport now," said Matt Marsh, a Minneapolis-based retail leader with Deloitte. "Similarly, I'm pretty confident we'll get to a point where we'll be able to go to a store, scan items and walk out with them. It's just a matter of how long it takes for that technology to be expanded and adopted."
It's another way that Amazon continues to disrupt and push other retailers to innovate. Up until now, retailers were more focused on improving websites and sharpening supply chains. Now, many are turning their attention to improving experiences inside stores, aiming to eliminate potential turnoffs such as long lines and to make physical shopping closer to one-click online shopping.
"Self-checkout and scan-and-go are the steppingstones that will eventually be replaced for much better seamless walkout technology," said Andrew Murphy of Loup Ventures, a technology-focused venture capital firm.
The evolution also makes sense for retailers because cashiers can be deployed to other high-value tasks such as filling online orders for in-store pickup or providing more hands-on customer service. That's an especially important consideration as workers' wages continue to rise. Target, for example, has pledged to raise its minimum wage to $15 an hour by 2020.