From his living-room window overlooking Leech Lake's secluded Kabekona Bay late Monday, Dana Pitt described what he saw.
"Ice," he said dryly. "Lots of ice."
Pitt and his wife, Cindy, own Bailey's Resort. They have nine cabins, most of which are rented by anglers for the walleye opener. Pitt, who's been in the business 20 years, is less than optimistic about Leech Lake being ice-free for the May 12 event.
"I'd be shocked if it happened at this point — I think we have close to 30 inches out there right now — but I'm really, really hoping I'm wrong," said Pitt, adding that some unseasonably warm weather, rain and wind would help open up one of the state's premiere walleye fisheries. "We may lose some business over the opener, but last year we had an early ice-out. I've been in this business long enough to know I can't control the weather."
With the walleye opener roughly three weeks away, ice-out on Minnesota lakes is lagging well behind compared to historic averages, which has some anglers, fishing guides and business owners nervous. Minnesota is, after all, known for inhospitable openers: As recently as 2013, Gov. Mark Dayton found Park Rapids' Fish Hook Lake covered in ice and had to fish at the nearby Fish Hook River instead.
"Mother Nature has been tough this year and extended winter well into April, which is delaying ice-out across the state," said Pete Boulay, a climatologist with the Minnesota Department of Natural Resources (DNR). "We're about 21 days later than the median in southern Minnesota, and we'll probably set some records there. But this return to normal to even above-normal temperatures should help. We just won't know how much for a few weeks."
Jeff Sundin of Grand Rapids has been a fishing guide for 30 years. He fishes numerous lakes in north-central Minnesota, including Leech, Winnibigoshish, Cass and Upper Red. In the last week or so, he's been monitoring ice conditions and he likes what he's seeing. Ice thickness, he said, hasn't changed much, but ice quality has. After a lake tour Monday, Sundin said ice conditions, particularly on smaller lakes in his region, are "deteriorating fast."
"I'm optimistic," said Sundin of the opener. "I can't guarantee all our lakes up here will be ice-free by then, but I will guarantee we will be fishing in boats somewhere up here by then."