
Let's start here: I think there's a better chance than not that Andrew Wiggins is on the Timberwolves' roster next season. He's a talented 23-year-old former No. 1 overall pick and Rookie of the Year about to enter into five very highly paid years. The former makes it hard for the Wolves to give him up, and the latter makes it hard for them to find a willing taker.
I'm also not convinced trading Wiggins would be a good idea. I'm over 50 percent on the "yes" side, but not by much. There's a lot to consider, even after his disappointing fourth NBA season and imperfect fit on a roster with Jimmy Butler and Karl-Anthony Towns.
But Wiggins is the Wolves' most enticing asset. And particularly if the Wolves are able to retain Butler and Towns this offseason with expensive extensions, the possibility of a Wiggins trade after the new league year begins in July is at least worth considering. Even after the Wolves improved by 16 victories and reached the postseason for the first time in 14 seasons, there wasn't the sense that they could just run it back with the same roster next year and improve. Advancing into the next tier might necessitate more shaking things up, and Wiggins is a candidate.
So consider this an exercise in assessing Wiggins' potential value and what he might fetch in return if — a big if — the Wolves decided to go that route. As I see it, there are four realistic types of deals given where the Wolves are in their development:
1) Go big or go home: I think the single biggest thing missing on the Wolves' roster right now is a shot-blocking, defensive-minded big man. If you want an eraser that fixes a lot of defensive deficiencies, go get yourself one of those. Tom Thibodeau had one in Chicago with Joakim Noah when he had all those highly ranked defenses. He lacks a player like that in Minnesota, and the defense has suffered accordingly.
Names to consider: Two guys come to mind. One is the Heat's Hassan Whiteside and the other is Detroit's Andre Drummond. Both are defensive beasts who can also score. Both have big salaries that would match up with Wiggins' max deal. Whiteside is being mentioned in rumors as a trade bait because of a lackluster performance in this year's playoffs. Drummond has been mentioned in trade rumors in the past, too — most prominently to Boston.
So what's the problem: Whiteside is under contract for just two more seasons, and one of those is a player option. The Wolves would be trading their relative problem for the Heat's relative problem, and if you deal for him and it doesn't work out, you could be left with nothing. And in both cases, the Wolves would also probably need to move Gorgui Dieng — lest they have a TON of salary tied up in big men, along with Towns and Taj Gibson.
2) Cut and run: The Wolves could flat-out decide the Wiggins extension was a mistake and take on useful players on shorter-term contracts to get out from the deal while still charting a course for a repeat trip to the playoffs.