Nothing much will change in 2020 for Neel Kashkari of the Minneapolis Federal Reserve Bank when he once again votes on the Federal Reserve's powerful policy committee. He will sit in the same assigned chair, making his policy arguments as before. Only the last few minutes will be different.
Voting members draw more attention, though, particularly if they vote against the consensus. If Kashkari does that, he will get blasted on Twitter, almost certainly by the same folks who have been sniping at him for years.
Kashkari thinks he attracts critics mostly because he's both active and open to mixing it up a little himself on Twitter. He has a point, as he might be the only good candidate to follow among the Fed universe.
Fed Chairman Jay Powell says nothing on Twitter. The Fed's institutional Twitter account makes the Bank of England's look interesting.
Twitter caps posts at just 280 characters, although you can argue on it (with anyone who cares following) all day if you want. It doesn't seem like a great tool for coolheaded monetary policy discussion, yet Kashkari's been on Twitter since before he took over as president of our regional Federal Reserve Bank four years ago.
"It's a way of enhancing transparency, engaging with people and showing them that we have nothing to hide," Kashkari said on a recent Friday afternoon. "Why do we livestream all of our town halls as I go around, and have them open to everybody? It's another way to engage with the public."
He also has conducted open Q-and-A sessions on Twitter. Those are times he will almost certainly hear from his critics.
It's risky to generalize about any group of people, but Kashkari's critics seem to be well represented by gold bugs, Bitcoiners, hard money die-hards, Austrian school economic enthusiasts and the like. They might not have the same views, but it is possible to tease out one general complaint: that the Federal Reserve has pursued a ruinous policy of easy money. That policy, they say, has distorted the capital markets, puffed up asset prices and set the stage for an inevitable economic tragedy. Kashkari either knows this and doesn't care or he doesn't realize it. Hard to say which is worse.