Two years ago, talk of flipping Minnesota's Second Congressional District from red to blue was primarily part of a stunt, as comedian Bill Maher made Republican incumbent John Kline a target of his "Flip a District" campaign.
The comedian failed to unseat the congressman, but Kline's retirement this year is sparking a wide-open race in a bellwether district that is suddenly one of the most closely watched battles in the country.
DFLer Angie Craig, a former medical device company executive armed with one of the most active volunteer campaigns in the country and a war chest that topped $1.7 million by midsummer, has the attention of national Democratic campaign leaders who see her as a top prospect to win a historically Republican seat in Congress. But to get there, she'll have to defeat an opponent already known to many voters: talk radio host Jason Lewis, a Republican who believes his long career sharing his conservative — and sometimes controversial — political views will resonate in the district.
With just over five weeks remaining before Election Day, both candidates are on a hectic dash of tours through farms, small businesses and colleges in a district that stretches from Lakeville to Red Wing to Northfield.
It is an emerging battleground district where voters twice picked President Obama, supported Democratic Senate candidates in the last two elections, but have only elected one Democrat to the U.S. House since Franklin Roosevelt was in office.
Craig says her well-organized campaign — whose volunteers had knocked on more than 300,000 doors by early September — is working to alter the course of history. The most recent campaign finance data available, released in July, show Craig with a major advantage: $1.5 million in contributions, and more than $1.7 million sitting in the bank. Lewis' campaign had raised about $370,000 in contributions and had just under $107,000 on hand.
Kline said the district remains an area in which voting results can be tough to predict.
"Can Jason Lewis win? Yes. Can Angie Craig win? Yes," said Kline, who has endorsed Lewis. "It's a swing district, so it's going to be about consistent messaging, the skills of the candidates, some things that are out of their control nationally or internationally that's going to drive turnout."