The year ahead is shaping up to be sluggish for refugee arrivals in Minnesota.
President Donald Trump this fall set the maximum number of refugees nationally at 45,000 for the fiscal year, slashing that ceiling by more than half. But more recent administration guidelines could mean an especially marked slowdown in Minnesota, traditionally one of the country's key resettlement destinations.
Even as it rolls out more intense vetting for all refugees, the United States is extending a pause on arrivals from 11 countries, including Somalia, a top country for refugees coming to this state. The administration also suspended indefinitely a program known as "follow-to-join," used by many refugees resettled here to reunite with spouses and children.
"In my office, I am prepared for a big cut," said Michelle Eberhard, who leads refugee services at Arrive Ministries, one of five Twin Cities resettlement agencies. "I would be really surprised if we get even close to that 45,000 number nationally."
Advocates and resettlement officials decry the changes, which they say mean vulnerable people as well as family members already settled here will face longer waits and uncertainty.
Some local critics of resettlement counter that the pace of arrivals had picked up too much under former President Barack Obama, who increased annual refugee admissions to 110,000 in his final year in office.
Refugee arrivals have already slumped in the first year of the Trump administration.
That included a four-month freeze on all resettlement last summer, from which the U.S. Supreme Court exempted refugees with close family ties in the United States. A Supreme Court ruling last week that allowed, for now, travel restrictions on eight countries doesn't apply to refugees, who are the subject of a separate presidential order.