Ten miles south of downtown St. Paul, on the banks of the Mississippi River, sits an oil refinery that is by far the largest repository of hydrogen fluoride in Minnesota. In the nearly 80 years the plant has been operating, it has never experienced a catastrophic accident involving the highly toxic chemical.
On the remote chance that it did, however, more than 1½ million people living and working within a 19-mile radius of the refinery could be exposed to a deadly gas cloud, according to a "worst-case" scenario spelled out in records tucked away in the Chicago regional office of the Environmental Protection Agency.
To be sure, major accidents involving hydrogen fluoride are rare. But the April 26 explosion and fire at the Husky Energy oil refinery in Superior, Wis., was a reminder of the potential danger.
The Husky refinery uses hydrogen fluoride, too, and the risk of an accidental release of it led to the mandatory evacuation of thousands of people in Superior that day. At the considerably larger Andeavor refinery in St. Paul Park, the population put at risk would be 10 times greater, documents show.
The potential disaster scenario is included in records kept at the EPA's Chicago office under restrictions that make the information difficult for the public to obtain, a defensive measure intended to protect facilities from sabotage or terrorism. The reports, which federal regulators require of oil refineries, sketch out worst-case and medium-case scenarios as required by the Clean Air Act to help local emergency-response organizations plan.
Those records show that, as of a year ago, the St. Paul Park refinery stored some 190,000 pounds of hydrogen fluoride for use as a catalyst in the production of high-octane gasoline. If the largest tank cracked open and released its contents within 10 minutes, and if the wind conditions were right, the hydrogen fluoride gas might form a ground-hugging cloud capable of traveling up to 19 miles before dispersing, putting 1.7 million people at risk, according to the worst-case scenario.
If a transfer hose failed at the refinery, some 5,700 pounds of hydrogen fluoride could escape in 19 minutes, throwing out a cloud capable of traveling up to eight-tenths of a mile and putting 1,400 people at risk, the documents show.
Destin Singleton, an Andeavor spokeswoman, said last week that the worst-case scenarios in EPA documents are "not realistic."