For many obsessed with politics, the upcoming midterm elections are perceived as a fight between good and evil that will determine the fate of the nation. In the narrative framed by true believers and much media coverage, it's a fight between those who are convinced that President Donald Trump can make America great and those who dream of a socialist future.
Fifty-four percent of Americans don't fit into that narrative. Just 27 percent strongly disapprove of the president and believe things would have been better if Hillary Clinton had been elected. On the other side, 19 percent strongly approve of the president and believe things would be worse if Hillary Clinton were living in the White House today. The rest have more mixed views.
This 8-point advantage among committed voters is the reason that Democrats are expected to do well in the midterm elections this November. In the House, likely outcomes range from Democrats falling just short of winning control to a big blue wave earning a significant majority.
The final outcome may be determined by a group of voters that neither political team can begin to comprehend. Rather than see the 2016 election as a watershed event that changed the direction of the country, 26 percent of registered voters don't believe life in America would have been all that different if Clinton had won. With Election Day just a couple of months away, most of these voters aren't committed to voting for either side.
Like most Americans, these voters overwhelmingly recognize that Steve Jobs and Bill Gates have had a bigger impact on the world than presidents of the United States have. Perhaps their ambivalence about who is president simply reflects confidence in the belief that culture and technology lead while politicians lag.
Or perhaps it's just a lack of faith in the political process. Only about 11 percent of them trust the federal government to do the right thing most of the time. Seventy-two percent believe that government agencies use their power to influence elections.
Another possibility stems from the fact that 61 percent of these voters are ideologically moderate. They may be turned off by the shrill tones of activists from both teams.
These voters aren't fans of the president's; just 29 percent approve of the job he's doing, and only 19 percent believe he is a good role model. But 45 percent believe he is at least as ethical as most politicians.