President Donald Trump has not made it easy for Democrats to forge bipartisan approaches with him on foreign policy. By undercutting essential alliances, embracing autocrats and discarding well-crafted international accords on Iran, trade and climate change, he has abandoned American ideals and undermined U.S. interests.
On Venezuela, however, Trump's instincts have often been right, and his administration, notwithstanding this week's tactical missteps and rhetorical overreach, has often done what it has failed to do in most other contexts — build multilateral alliances, fashion targeted sanctions and coordinate with congressional Democrats.
Some voices on the far left, among them U.S. Rep. Ilhan Omar, D-Minn., and the peace activist group Code Pink, have employed the usual tropes about American interventionism. Omar told the "Democracy Now!" news program that American "bullying and the use of sanctions to eventually intervene and make regime change really does not help the people of countries like Venezuela, and it certainly does not help and is not in the interest of the United States."
But joining the Trump administration in backing Juan Guaido, whom Venezuela's democratically elected National Assembly designated as interim president, should be a no-brainer for progressives. Democrats with actual authority over foreign affairs — including the chair of the House Foreign Affairs Committee, Rep. Eliot Engel, D-N.Y.; and the ranking Democrat on the Senate Foreign Relations Committee, Sen. Robert Menendez of New Jersey — have advanced legislation to pressure the regime of Venezuelan President Nicolas Maduro, promote a democratic transition via free and fair elections, and increase humanitarian assistance.
Maduro, who assumed power following the death of Hugo Chávez in 2013, has stolen elections, jailed political opponents and shuttered media outlets. Under his rule, security services have executed and tortured political opponents. Maduro's economic mismanagement has also produced an economic catastrophe of historic proportions. Since 2013, GDP has been cut in half, inflation has soared to more than 10 million percent, and food and medicine have gone scarce, leading 2.7 million Venezuelans — about 10% of the population — to flee to neighboring countries.
Despite the protestations of some on the left, the U.S. is not looking to control Venezuela's oil — the shale revolution has reduced the U.S. need for oil from countries such as Venezuela. Nor is Venezuela an ideological battlefield per se. Guaido's party, Popular Will, is affiliated with the Socialist International, the international grouping of social democratic parties, yet he has the fervent support of conservative Republicans such as Sen. Marco Rubio, R-Fla. What's at stake in Venezuela is more basic — whether the country will be a disintegrating dictatorship or stable democracy.
More than 50 countries have joined the U.S. in recognizing Guaido as the legitimate president of Venezuela, and many have followed the U.S. in imposing sanctions on Maduro and other members of the regime for corruption, drug trafficking and human rights abuses. Nevertheless, Maduro has been able to cling to power, thanks to support from Russia, China and Cuba and a military that has largely remained outwardly loyal. Members of the high command have illicitly enriched themselves and fear being held to account for their misdeeds.
Guaido's failed attempt last week to mobilize the military to peacefully support his leadership and end what he calls Maduro's usurpation of power highlighted that the direction of Venezuela will be determined by the armed forces. The Venezuelan public is firmly on the side of Guaido; as a national poll last month by the Albright Stonebridge Group and GBAO Strategies shows — Guaido wins a hypothetical matchup against Maduro, 61 to 28%. But the thus-far peaceful and fleeting public protests have been insufficient to dislodge Maduro or impel the military to embrace Guaido.