Vikings playoff scenarios: How the Vikings could win the No. 1 seed -- or lose the No. 2 seed

The Vikings won the NFC North, but still have a shot at more.

December 18, 2017 at 2:55PM
Minnesota Vikings strong safety Jayron Kearse, last season.
Minnesota Vikings strong safety Jayron Kearse (27) celebrated after downing the ball on the Cincinnati 1yard line in the second quarter at U.S.Bank Stadium Sunday December 17, 2017 in Minneapolis, MN.] JERRY HOLT ï jerry.holt@startribune.com (The Minnesota Star Tribune)

The Vikings (11-3) will get the NFC's No. 1 seed if…

They win their remaining two games (at Green Bay, vs. Chicago) and the Eagles (12-2) lose their final two games (vs. Oakland, vs. Dallas). Philadelphia clinches the NFC's No. 1 seed with a win against the Raiders next week.

The No. 2 seed if…

They beat the Packers and Bears, securing a first-round bye. If the Vikings go 1-1 in the final two games to finish 12-4, they need to avoid a tie with a potential NFC South-champion Panthers (10-4) team, which owns the head-to-head tiebreaker. The Vikings will win head-to-head ties over the Saints (10-4) and Rams (10-4).

The No. 3 seed if...

They go 1-1 and lose the first-round bye to the Panthers, who need to win out (vs. Tampa, at Atlanta) and have the Saints lose once for Carolina to win its division. Then the 12-win Panthers would leap the Vikings for the NFC's No. 2 seed. If the Vikings go 0-2 in the final two games, they could be leapt by either the Rams or Saints, who both need to win out for a shot at a first-round bye.

The No. 4 seed if...

They go 0-2 and get leapt in the standings by the Rams and either the Saints or Panthers.

According to the website fivethirtyeight.com, the Vikings have a 91 percent chance of getting a first-round bye.

about the writer

about the writer

Andrew Krammer

Reporter

Andrew Krammer covers the Vikings for the Star Tribune, entering his sixth NFL season. From the Metrodome to U.S. Bank Stadium, he's reported on everything from Case Keenum's Minneapolis Miracle, the offensive line's kangaroo court to Adrian Peterson's suspension.

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