Puzzle all you want about the Vikings' 2-5 record against the Detroit Lions since 2014, over how two aggravating losses against the Lions were all that kept the Vikings from wresting a playoff berth from the tumult of their 2016 season, and then consider this:
It's awfully hard to win games consistently when you average 15.3 points.
That's been the Vikings' scoring rate against the Lions in the Mike Zimmer era, dating to a 17-3 loss where Teddy Bridgewater was sacked eight times in an Oct. 12, 2014, meeting. The Vikings' only two wins over the Lions came in 2015 and were also the only games where they've scored more than 17 points. Last year, they managed just 16 against Detroit before losing in overtime at U.S. Bank Stadium, and mustered only 13 three weeks later in a Thanksgiving Day loss.
Last month, a week after Case Keenum won NFC Offensive Player of the Week honors for his performance against Tampa Bay, the Vikings scored just one touchdown in a 14-7 loss at home.
That game still stands as the Vikings' most recent defeat, and if they're going to put themselves in command of the NFC North with a Thanksgiving Day win at Ford Field this year, they'll have to solve a Lions defense that hasn't given them much.
"We turned the ball over three times the last game [vs. Detroit] and we got in the red zone and haven't converted," Zimmer said. "One time I think we had a turnover down there, and we ended up going backwards in the red zone and had to punt the ball. Things like that."
The Vikings have revved up their offense since that loss to the Lions, averaging 27 points a game in their six-game winning streak. They lost Dalvin Cook to a torn ACL against Detroit on Oct. 1; they posted a season-high 171 rushing yards against the Rams last Sunday.
An offense that has the fifth-most yards in the league, though, hasn't been able to find big plays against the Lions.