House Republicans are hoping history will repeat itself. That may well happen — but not necessarily to their long-term benefit.
In a middle-class Pittsburgh suburb, House GOP Leader Kevin McCarthy last week unveiled the party's platform for the November elections, a mostly general set of promises called the "Commitment to America."
It pledges to fight inflation by curbing "wasteful government spending," increasing "take-home pay" and acting to "move supply chains away from China." It vows to fight illegal immigration by acting to "fully fund effective border enforcement strategies" and "end catch-and-release loopholes."
The exercise echoes the far more explicit 1994 "Contract with America," the platform pledging action on proposals like a balanced budget amendment and congressional term limits that Republicans led by Newt Gingrich used in the successful campaign that ended 40 years of Democratic House control.
Once in power, however, the GOP discovered that enacting the specifics was far more difficult than advocating for them. Though the Republican House passed most promised measures, virtually none became law because of opposition in the GOP-controlled Senate or vetoes by President Bill Clinton.
That Republican Congress cooperated with Clinton in some areas, producing welfare reform in 1996 and a major tax cut/balanced budget bill in 1997. But the House also spent substantial time investigating the Clinton administration, climaxing with the 1998 impeachment probe that created an anti-GOP political backlash that year.
House Republicans may encounter similar problems next year if they succeed in capturing control as current polling indicates is likely. Indeed, the agenda McCarthy presented did far more to obscure their real intentions than to illuminate them.
For example, its only reference to abortion is a promise "to protect the lives of unborn children and their mothers" at a time when many congressional Republicans are pushing for a nationwide ban on abortion, after the Supreme Court overturned the 1973 Roe v. Wade decision legalizing the procedure.