Amelia Rayno's NCAA basketball championship game prediction

April 4, 2016 at 4:34AM

TItle game numbers

2

Best offenses in the nation, according to analyst Ken Pomeroy, with North Carolina taking top honors and Villanova coming in second.

3

Times in past 15 years that two national semifinal games were decided by at least 15, including Saturday's North Carolina and Villanova wins.

31

Years since Villanova has won a title. North Carolina won the last of its five titles in 2009.

1981

The last time that North Carolina lost a national title game, to Indiana. The Tar Heels have won each of the four championship game appearances they've had since then (1982, 1993, 2005, 2009).

17

Times that North Carolina has scored at least 85 points in a game this season, while Villanova has reached that mark 12 times.

1.6

Percent of this year's brackets that correctly picked the championship game, according to ESPN Stats and Info.

78.6

The only shooting percentage in a single Final Four game higher than the 71.4 percent Villanova shot against Oklahoma in Saturday's semifinal. The team with the record? Villanova's 1985 team, done against Georgetown in the championship game.

29

All but one of North Carolina's past 30 opponents have shot worse than 45 percent from the field.

24.2

Villanova's average margin of victory thus far in the NCAA tournament. The record was set by UCLA, 23.75 in 1967.

Amelia Rayno's prediction: Villanova 92, North Carolina 88

Villanova has the hot hand and plenty of room to fall and still dominate. The Wildcats' balanced guard play will once again take the spotlight while center Daniel Ochefu will hold down the paint well enough to keep North Carolina big man Brice Johnson from doing too much damage.

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about the writer