1. Houston Astros (106-56 last year)
The World Series champions offset the loss of Justin Verlander with a super rotation of Framber Valdez, Cristian Javier, Luis Garcia, Jose Urquidy and Lance McCullers Jr. They added 1B Jose Abreu, LF Yordan Alvarez (37 HR, 1.019 OPS) was third in the MVP voting and the lineup is stacked with 2B Jose Altuve (out until at least late May because of broken thumb), 3B Alex Bregman, CF Chas McCormick, RF Kyle Tucker and SS Jeremy Pena.
2. Toronto Blue Jays (92-70)
A formidable lineup led by SS Bo Bichette, 1B Vlad Guerrero Jr. and 3B Matt Chapman added DH Brandon Belt and OF Kevin Kiermaier. Chris Bassitt left the Mets to sign as a free agent, joining a rotation with Alek Manoah, Kevin Gausman and Jose Berrios. If the bullpen shores up, this could be the Jays' big season.
3. New York Yankees (99-63)
Aaron Judge got a big payday (nine years, $360 million) after an AL-record 62 HRs and a baseball-leading 10.6 WAR and 1.111 OPS. The Yankees landed starter Carlos Rodon for six years and $162 million, but he'll start on the injured list. Rookie Anthony Volpe, 21, won the shortstop job. Pitching — Gerrit Cole leading the starters, and a strong bullpen — will make or break the Yankees.
4. Seattle Mariners (90-72)
The name of the game is pitching, and Seattle's staff will be among baseball's best, especially the bullpen. CF Julio Rodriguez was the AL Rookie of the Year as the Mariners reached the playoffs. They added 2B Kolten Wong and LF Teoscar Hernandez, and have a great prospect pool.