Byron Buxton's career arc with the Twins offers us some unfortunate but informative symmetry.
The Twins have played 1,325 games since the start of the 2015 season, the year Buxton made his MLB debut. Injuries, rest and further minor league seasoning along the way have led to this split:
Buxton has appeared in 670 games since the start of the 2015 season. The Twins have a 365-305 record in those games — a .545 winning percentage that translates to an 88-win pace over a full 162-game season.
The Twins have played 655 games without Buxton since the start of the 2015 season. They have a 296-359 record in those games — a .452 winning percentage that translates to a 73-win pace over a full 162-game season.
That's the difference between an AL Central contender and a division bottom-feeder.
For a micro example, look no further than last season. The Twins were 62-58, two games back in the division race, when Buxton was lost for the season. They finished 78-84 (16-26 without Buxton), a distant 14 games back of Cleveland.
But as Patrick Reusse and I talked about on Monday's Daily Delivery podcast, the Twins' dependence on Buxton has waned this season — particularly in the last month.
The Twins were 55-53, up by two games in the AL Central, when Buxton was shut down. They've gone 13-10 since then, boosting their lead in the weak division to six games heading into Game 1 Monday of an important series against Cleveland.