College freshman enrollment increased, not decreased, as researchers initially reported

A national research firm apologized for a data error that mistakenly reported freshman enrollment decreased. Minnesota schools with increasing enrollment had questioned the report.

The Minnesota Star Tribune
January 14, 2025 at 6:10PM
People walk past the Concordia College Bell Tower in Moorhead, Minn., in 2024. (Ayrton Breckenridge/The Minnesota Star Tribune)

A national research firm apologized Monday for inaccurate data that showed college freshman enrollment nationally and in Minnesota decreased last fall when in fact it increased.

The National Student Clearinghouse Research Center said in a statement that its preliminary report in December had a “methodological error” that undercounted freshman students and the Virginia-based nonprofit will release a new report with updated data Jan. 23.

“The National Student Clearinghouse Research Center acknowledges the importance and significance of its role in providing accurate and reliable research to the higher education community,” executive director Doug Shapiro said in a statement. “We deeply regret this error and are conducting a thorough review to understand the root cause and implement measures to prevent such occurrences in the future.”

The error “caused the mislabeling of certain students as dual-enrolled rather than as freshmen” resulting in the overcounting of dual-enrolled students. Dual-enrolled students are high schoolers taking college coursework.

Many Minnesota higher education officials had questioned the data in December, saying it didn’t match the increasing enrollment they were seeing within the state.

Overall, local schools are seeing increases in enrollment, drawing both Minnesotans and students from other states this year. Undergraduate figures show:

  • Minnesota State: Overall enrollment up 8%; Freshman enrollment up 12%.
  • University of Minnesota: Overall enrollment up about 3%; Freshman enrollment up 7%.
  • Minnesota Private College Council schools: Overall enrollment up 2%; Freshman enrollment up 3%.
about the writer

about the writer

Erin Adler

Reporter

Erin Adler is a suburban reporter covering Dakota and Scott counties for the Minnesota Star Tribune, working breaking news shifts on Sundays. She previously spent three years covering K-12 education in the south metro and five months covering Carver County.

See More

More from News & Politics

card image

“He is the real deal,” former U.S. Sen. Norm Coleman said, but Minnesota native Hegseth faced tough questions from Democrats on the Senate Armed Services Committee.

card image