Rabbit Lake (@TNelsonWX/The Minnesota Star Tribune)
Feels 60 degrees warmer than last week
Old Man Winter is having a sale on clippers. One such fast-moving storm approaching from Canada may drop an inch of slush late Thursday at MSP, with plowable amounts for central and northern Minnesota. Check the blog for more details. -Todd Nelson
February 8, 2022 at 3:34AM
Snow Potential Late Week
Here's the weather outlook from AM Tuesday to AM Saturday. There will be a couple of clipper systems that scoot through the region and both will bring a light snow chance to parts of Minnesota. The first one moves through around midweek and the second pushes through on late Thursday and early Friday. The best chance of minor snow accumulations will be across the northern part of the state.
Snowfall Potential Through AM Saturday
Here's the snowfall potential through AM Saturday, which shows the best chance of snow across the northern half of the state. There could be some plowable snow across in the far northeastern part of the state.
Temperature Roller Coaster
Here's the 850mb temp anomaly from AM Tuesday to AM Saturday. Note the milder oranges and reds in place through the early part of the week. The warmest day will be Tuesday with highs running nearly +10F to +20F above average for early February. Temps will be slightly cooler during the second half of the week before a bigger cool blob settles in this weekend.
Snow Depth
Here was the snow depth as of Monday morning. Note that there is very little snow across South Dakota, which will help temps warm to near 50F or more on Tuesday. There is a pretty decent snow pack across much of Minnesota and especially across the northern two-thirds of the state, where some 6" to 12" plus tallies are being reported.
Snowfall So Far This Season
Here's the snowfall so far this season. The Twin Cities has seen nearly 34" since January 1st, which is slightly above average. Meanwhile, Duluth has seen is nearly 53" and is slightly below average
Tuesday Weather Outlook
The weather outlook for Minneapolis on Tuesday shows mostly quiet weather through the day with temps warming to near 40F. There is a slight chance of light rain/snow late in the day and evening.
Meteograms for Minneapolis
The hourly temps for Minneapolis on Tuesday show temps starting in the lower 20s with highs warming to near 40F by the afternoon. Southwesterly winds will turn to the west through the day and gust close to 20mph-25mph.
Wind Chill Values Tuesday
Feels like temps for Minneapolis on Tuesday will be a little cooler with readings feeling more like the 20s to near 30F through the day.
Weather Outlook For Tuesday
High temps across the region on Tuesday will be quite a bit warmer than average with readings running nearly +10F to +20F above average. Highs temps will warm into the 30s to near 40F across much of the state. Note that some locations in South Dakota will warm into the lower 50s.
Extended Temperature Outlook For Minneapolis
The extended temperature outlook for Minneapolis over the next several days shows temps running above average on Tuesday with highs approaching 40F. The second half of the week will be a bit cooler, but will still be nearly +5F to +10F above average with highs warming to near the freezing mark or better.
Extended Weather Outlook For Minneapolis
The extended weather outlook suggests area of a light wintry mix through about midweek with temps running above average. It'll be a bit cooler on Saturday, but will quickly warm to at or above average temps again early next week.
Extended Temperature Outlook For Minneapolis
According to the ECMWF & GFS extended temperature outlook, will be warmer as we head through much of the week head. There could a brief cool down on Saturday, but the next several days after that could be warmer once again.
8 to 14 Day Temperature Outlook
According to NOAA's Climate Prediction Center, the 8 to 14 day temperature outlook shows below average temps lingering across the Great Lakes and the Northeast, while warmer than average temps will be in place across the Plains.
8 to 14 Day Precipitation Outlook
According to NOAA's Climate Prediction Center, the 8-14 Day precipitation outlook shows more active weather across much of the Central US. However, folks out west will stay dry.
Feels 60 Degrees Warmer Than Last Week
By Paul Douglas
With apologies to Albert, Douglas's Convoluted Theory of Relativity posits: "After 20 nights at or below zero (F) 40F above feels RELATIVELY AMAZING." Trite but true.
We were due for the weather pendulum to swing in the other direction, a "mild correction", and it's here. With few exceptions, temperatures should run milder than average into much of next week, as prevailing winds aloft howl more from the Pacific, vs. the Yukon. We may even go 7-10 days without another subzero low, although a few more negative nights are possibly before March arrives.
Old Man Winter is having a sale on clippers. One such fast-moving storm approaching from Canada may drop an inch of slush late Thursday at MSP, with plowable amounts for central and northern Minnesota. A southern storm may brush southern Minnesota with snow the middle of next week, but this far out that's more horoscope than weather prediction.
Although more numbing nights are likely, I still maintain the coldest days of winter are behind us now. Please.
Extended Forecast
TUESDAY: Partly sunny and mild. Winds: W 10-20. High: 40.
TUESDAY NIGHT: Mostly cloudy. Chane of light rain/snow. Winds: WNW 15-25. Low: 31.
WEDNESDAY: Mostly cloudy and breezy. Winds: NW 10-20. High: 34.
THURSDAY: Clouds increase, slushy inch late? Winds: S 8-13. Wake-up: 10. High: 34.
FRIDAY: Clouds, flurries and sprinkles. Winds: NW 15-30. Wake-up: 29. High: 33.
SATURDAY: Sunny and chilly. Winds: W 7-12. Wake-up: 2. High: 12.
SUNDAY: Patchy clouds, not as cold. Winds: S 8-13. Wake-up: 3. High: 29.
MONDAY: Some sun, thaw potential. Winds: NE 8-13. Wake-up: 22. High: 34.
This Day in Weather History
February 8th
1996: Showers and thunderstorms bring a mix of freezing rain and rain across the eastern portion of Minnesota. In Edina, lightning damaged a house.
1933: Arctic air remains entrenched across Minnesota with a morning low of -55 at Warroad.
Average High/Low for Minneapolis
February 8th
Average High: 27F (Record: 50F set in 1991, 2002)
Average Low: 10F (Record: -29F set in 1899)
Record Rainfall: 1.08" set in 1966)
Record Snowfall: 5.0" set in 1905
Sunrise/Sunset Times for Minneapolis
February 8th
Sunrise: 7:23am
Sunset: 5:31pm
Hours of Daylight: ~10 hours & 7 minutes
Daylight GAINED since yesterday: ~ 2 minute & 46 seconds
Daylight GAINED since Winter Solstice (December 21st): ~ 1 Hour & 21 Minutes
Moon Phase for February 8th at Midnight
0.7 Days Since First Quarter Moon
National High Temps Tuesday
The weather outlook on Tuesday shows warmer than average temps across much of the nation. look at temps across California, where readings will warm to near 80F. In fact, highs could warm to near 90F by midweek there.
National Weather Outlook
Weather conditions will remain somewhat active across the Upper Midwest and Great Lakes, where areas of rain and snow will be possible. There could be some minor snow accumulations, but there doesn't appear to be anything too major. Much of the rest of the nation will be quite and dry.
Extended Precipitation Outlook
According to NOAA's Weather Prediction Center, areas of heavy precipitation will be found across parts of Central Florida. There will also be decent precipitation and snow across the Great Lakes and into the Northern New England States.
Extended Snowfall Outlook
Here's the ECMWF extended snowfall outlook through next weekend, which shows areas of heavy snow north of the Great Lakes and into the Northern New England States. There will also be some heavier pockets of snow across the Spine of the Rockies and a potential winter blast in the Central & Southern Plains.
Climate Stories
"What does lightning actually do to a tree?"
"The huge storms many Australians have experienced recently have damaged or toppled old trees which had withstood the vagaries of our weather for the past century or more. This is what we can expect as our climate changes, with storm events more frequent, wind speeds stronger and rainfall heavier. These all contribute to trees falling or dropping large branches. But there's something you might not think of as linked to climate change. As storms intensify in our new climate, we're likely to see more lightning strikes. And that means our tallest trees will be hit more often."
"If the U.S. Wants to Fully Tackle Inflation, It Needs to Tackle Climate Change"
"What's behind the most significant inflation in decades? Read most news articles and you'll hear a variation on a standard answer: a combination of supply chain challenges caused by the quick ramp up of the economy after COVID-19 lockdowns and substantial spending driven by consumers who saved up—and collected money from the government—while businesses were closed. There's no question that these two interrelated factors are driving prices higher, but beneath the headlines economists say that extreme weather events tied to climate change are also contributing to inflation. Across the world, climate-linked disasters have killed crops, disrupted energy supplies, and crippled transportation lines. Economists say that this reality will only worsen as the planet warms."
"A new study predicts a huge increase in catastrophic hurricanes for the northeastern U.S."
"Hurricanes that cause both extreme high tides and heavy rain are among the most dangerous and destructive types of storms for coastal communities. Such hurricanes will occur much more frequently by the end of the century, according to a new study. The research has implications for those living in coastal areas from Texas to New England, all of whom will face dramatic increases in hurricane-driven flood risk as the Earth heats up. In recent years, multiple hurricanes have caused so-called compound flooding from rain and storm surge, including Hurricane Harvey in Texas and Hurricane Florence in the Carolinas. Both storms caused record-breaking amounts of damage and killed dozens of people."
But next week will end with comfortable 60s and 70s.