WASHINGTON – Within hours of AT&T's announcement that it had agreed to buy Time Warner for $85.4 billion, U.S. Sen. Al Franken of Minnesota put out a statement saying he was "skeptical of huge media mergers."
The day after the merger was reported, Sen. Amy Klobuchar of Minnesota announced a hearing on the deal by the Senate Judiciary Subcommittee on Antitrust, Competition Policy and Consumer Rights.
Minnesota's two most powerful federal politicians, both Democrats, are among those poised to lead the charge against the deal. Both are pursuing strategies that maximize their leverage. Courts of law are specific about what constitutes an improper marriage of private companies. But as Congress has proved over and over, jurors in the court of public opinion can sometimes derail consolidation as surely as any judge.
The "rule of reason" and "complex economic analysis" are supposed to apply, said Sharon Sandeen, who teaches antitrust law at Mitchell Hamline School of Law in St. Paul. Still, she noted, "statements and hearings by politicians might sway the public view" in ways that "have an effect in the real world."
At this point, said Chris Scheuer, a senior equity analyst at Minneapolis-based Thrivent Financial, the market is putting about a 50-50 chance of approval on the deal.
In an Oct. 22 news release announcing the Time Warner purchase, AT&T CEO Randall Stephenson called it "a perfect match of two companies with complementary strengths who can bring a fresh approach to how the media and communications industry works for customers, content creators, distributors and advertisers."
AT&T said customers would benefit from a "stronger competitive alternative to cable and other video providers" and "better value, more choices and enhanced customer experience for over-the-top and mobile viewing."
Skeptics in Congress will test those contentions.