As school districts take their fall student tally, the state's top spot may be up for grabs.
Preliminary counts show that longtime No. 2 St. Paul added 210 students this year, the third straight year it has exceeded projections. Total enrollment is now 37,986.
Meanwhile, Anoka-Hennepin, for six years the state's largest district, isn't making its numbers public until a school board meeting later this month. But the district's 2012-13 projections from last winter came in at 36,861.
Across the metro area, preliminary reporting requirements indicate shifting figures for many districts. Minneapolis -- like St. Paul, long troubled by declining enrollments -- added 400 students. Meanwhile, suburban districts such as Lakeville and Elk River that once showed huge growth, along with their housing booms, have leveled off.
Of course, the gains and losses of K-12 enrollments follow many of the broader housing trends, but school officials and district number crunchers pointed to other factors, such as birth trends, their own marketing efforts and competition from nonpublic and charter schools.
In St. Paul, the gains aren't happenstance. Administrators went door to door over the summer to attract students and, last year, the district launched a privately funded marketing campaign.
"Somehow we're reaching families and getting them into the schools," said Steve Schellenberg, the district's assistant director of research, evaluation and assessment.
Statewide, officials expect enrollment to grow an average of 1 percent, said Carol Hokenson, manager in the division of school finance for the Minnesota Department of Education.