Sixty years of modern football history suggests the winless Atlanta Falcons didn't exactly arm themselves with a magic bullet when they fired Dan Quinn and promoted Raheem Morris to interim head coach six days before Sunday's scheduled game against the Vikings at U.S. Bank Stadium.
Oh sure, Houston won its first game in interim coach Romeo Crennel's debut last week. And, yes, three of the past five interim head coaches have won their first games.
But going back to 1960, the point of origin for what's considered "the modern NFL," the numbers say that if a team is lousy enough to get its coach fired in-season, it's generally lousy enough to keep losing.
A few years back, Rick Gosselin, currently with Talk of Fame Network/SI.com and the godfather of NFL media and league history the past five decades, crunched some numbers regarding interim head coaches. Piggybacking off those numbers and updating them, here's the won-loss record for interim head coaches in their first games since 1960: 31-60-1.
A .342 winning percentage for the 92 interim coaches who have gone before Morris since 1960. Best of luck, Raheem.
That, of course, doesn't mean those 92 interim coaches didn't enjoy an initial boost in effort and attention to detail from their players.
"One of the reasons you tend to get that bump with an interim coach is the players are auditioning for jobs all over again," said Bills defensive coordinator Leslie Frazier, who won his first two games as the Vikings' interim coach after Brad Childress was fired after a 31-3 home loss to Green Bay in 2010. "Maybe the message is a little different. And there might be some lineup changes that help."
Vikings coach Mike Zimmer said he doesn't expect Atlanta to "change a whole lot" in less than a week. But he is leery of quarterback Matt Ryan and the offensive firepower that's now in the hands of a coach who's essentially gambling with the house's money.