Lamar Jackson is latest example of NFL's quarterback volatility trend

Five years ago, Kirk Cousins was an anomaly as a quality QB who changed teams. Now it seems to happen far more frequently.

March 27, 2023 at 5:30PM
Ravens quarterback Lamar Jackson (8) in a game against the Vikings in 2021.
Ravens quarterback Lamar Jackson (8) in a game against the Vikings in 2021. (Star Tribune/The Minnesota Star Tribune)

Only five years ago, Kirk Cousins was a hot commodity in part because of his performance and in part because of an unusual circumstance.

He was a quarterback at a relatively prime age hitting the open market as a free agent. The marketplace in 2018 was such that quarterbacks like that were generally not available in trades or free agency. If a team had an above-average quarterback that it liked, the player was signed and off-limits.

What has transpired since then is reflective of a seemingly greater level of volatility in the QB marketplace, with high-profile passers changing teams frequently. While the examples typically are trades and not free agents, the overall effect is interesting — and reflective of the Super Bowl or bust mentality that has become the norm.

Among the stunning moves in the last few years: Tom Brady leaving New England to sign with Tampa; the Rams dealing a boatload of picks and Jared Goff to the Lions for Matthew Stafford; the Broncos going all-in on Russell Wilson in a trade with Seattle; Deshaun Watson going from the Texans to Cleveland; and Aaron Rodgers being on the verge, eventually, of being traded to the Jets.

Brady and Rodgers are end-of-career veterans — no doubt Hall of Famers on a path that Peyton Manning took when joining the Broncos after a long career with the Colts.

But Stafford (33 in 2021, the year he was traded) and Wilson (34) were experienced veterans with several good years presumably ahead of them at the time they were dealt. And Jackson, a 26-year-old former MVP, could be with an acquiring team for a decade — similar to the trade for the 27-year-old Watson purely from a football standpoint.

Sometimes it works splendidly: Brady won a Super Bowl. Sometimes it blows up: Year 1 of Wilson in Denver was a disaster. Sometimes it's both: A Super Bowl, then a disaster, for Stafford with the Rams.

What teams have realized is that there are two cheat codes for serious playoff contention: having a star quarterback, even if he's expensive; or having a solid (sometimes better than that) young quarterback on a rookie scale deal that allows for extensive roster building around him.

That has created buyers and sellers on both sides of blockbuster QB deals and ushered in a much different market than the one the Vikings entered in 2018.

about the writer

Michael Rand

Columnist / Reporter

Michael Rand is the Star Tribune's Digital Sports Senior Writer and host/creator of the Daily Delivery podcast. In 25 years covering Minnesota sports at the Star Tribune, he has seen just about everything (except, of course, a Vikings Super Bowl).

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