Xcel Energy Inc. should get significantly less than the record increase it is seeking for Minnesota electric rates, a state administrative law judge said in a nonbinding but influential recommendation to energy regulators.
Under Judge Jeanne Cochran's recommendation, Xcel would be allowed to increase rates by $127 million, or roughly 4.7 percent, for its 1.2 million electric customers, according to an analysis the utility released Monday.
Xcel asked for a $285 million, or 10.7 percent, rate hike last November, but has twice pared it back, and most recently said it could accept a $209 million increase, or 7.8 percent.
After reviewing the Minneapolis-based utility's finances, Cochran recommended that many of Xcel's proposed revenue enhancements be tossed out or reduced. She concluded that the utility this year likely will take in $26 million more than it projected and therefore doesn't need as large of a rate increase.
The Minnesota Commerce Department, which analyzes utility rates on behalf of customers, has said Xcel deserved an increase of no more than $97 million, or 3.7 percent, but the judge didn't agree with all of the agency's suggestions.
The judge also recommended that the state Public Utilities Commission authorize a return on equity for investors of 9.8 percent, below Xcel's requested 10.6 percent. The PUC has the final say on the hike and will likely act this fall.
Despite what appeared to be bad news for the company, Xcel shares rose 1.6 percent amid broad gains for utilities in trading Monday.
Travis Miller, a utility analyst at Morningstar, said investors may not have seen the judge's recommendation as bad news and noted that the return on equity in it is not far out of line with recent decisions by regulators in other states. According to the Edison Electric Institute, a national trade association, the average return on equity approved for member electric utilities in the first quarter was 10.23 percent.