Maps Looking Very Wintry Into Christmas
A stalled storm will pull waves of snow into Minnesota from Wisconsin today (odd, but it happens) and I could see 4-7" before snow tapers late Friday. Plowable for the metro and much of central Minnesota, but potentially crippling along Lake Superior's North Shore, where some 20-30" amounts may pile up. -Check the blog for more details.
...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO 6 PM CST THURSDAY...
* WHAT...Heavy snow expected. Precipitation may start as rain later this evening, but will quickly change to snow overnight. Total snow accumulations of 4 to 7 inches.
* WHERE...Hennepin, Anoka, Ramsey and Dakota Counties.
* WHEN...From midnight tonight to 6 PM CST Thursday.
* IMPACTS...Plan on slippery road conditions. The hazardous conditions could impact the morning or evening commute.
Simulated Radar Through Midday Friday
Another surge of snow will push through the region Wednesday night and Thursday. The heaviest accumulations will be done by Thursday with lingering light snow potential Friday.
Snowfall Amounts Through Friday
This secondary phase of the storm will be responsible for widespread plowable snowfall amounts across the region. Some 4" to 7" tallies will be possible closer to the metro with heavier amounts in Central Minnesota and across Northeastern Minnesota. By the time this is all said and done, there could be 1ft. to 2ft tallies across the higher terrain of the North Shore.
Snowfall Potential Closer To Home
Here's the snowfall potential closer to home, which shows plowable amounts across the region. 4" to 7" tallies will be possible across the Metro with slightly higher amounts into Central Minnesota. There will also be some 10"+ tallies into Wisconsin.
Severe Threat Down South
According to NOAA's SPC, there is a SLIGHT RISK of strong to severe thunderstorms on Thursday, where large hail, damaging winds and even a few strong tornadoes will be possible. Widespread tornado damage was reported earlier this week, one of which impacted the New Orleans metro.
Getting Colder As We Approach Christmas
The temperature trend through Christmas day shows a significant surge of colder air settling in across the Lower 48 as we head into next week and closer to the Christmas holiday weekend. Most of the nation will be dealing with well below average temps through the 2nd half of the month.
Extended Temperature Outlook
The extended temperature outlook for Minneapolis, which shows falling temps through the end of the week with even colder temps this weekend. It'll be quite cold as we head through most of next week with highs only warming into the single digits and teens. Overnight lows could dip into the sub-zero range as well!
Twin Cities Weather Outlook For Thursday
The Twin Cities on Thursday, December 15th, looks pretty snowy through the day with temps hovering in the low/mid 30s. Plowable snowfall accumulations will be likely, which will impact both the morning and afternoon evening commute.
Weather Outlook on Thursday
Temps across the region on Thursday will still be warmer than average by +5F to +10F with readings warming into the low/mid 30s. Note the colder air lurking across the Western Dakotas, this is some of the colder weather that'll be heading our way into the weekend.
Meteograms For Minneapolis
Temps through the day Thursday will actually still be fairly mild with readings hovering in the low/mid 30s through the day. Areas of heavier snow will be possible through the first half of the day and will taper through the second half of the day. NNW Winds will be a little breezy in the morning, but should taper a bit through the day.
Hourly Feels Like Temps
Feels like temps will be in the 20s in the morning and could top out around the freezing mark through the afternoon.
Precipitation Departure From Average Since Jan. 1st
The Twin Cities is nearly nearly -9.68" below average for the year, which is the 18th driest start to any year on record (through December 12th). Meanwhile, International Fall, MN is still nearly 9.30"above average, which is still the 2nd wettest start to any year on record there.
Drought Update
It has been a dry year for many across central and southern MN. Extreme drought continues across parts of the Twin Cities to the Minnesota River Valley where rainfall deficits have been the greatest. It would be nice to get a good soaking prior to heading into winter, but it doesn't appear that anything substantial is on the way anytime soon.
Extended Precipitation Outlook
The extended precipitation outlook through next week shows a decent amount of precipitation. The heaviest will fall Wednesday night into Thursday.
Extended Temperature Outlook For Minneapolis
The extended temperature outlook through Monday of early next week shows falling temps into the weekend. Readings will be nearly -10F to -20F below average as we head into the next week.
Extended Weather Outlook For Minneapolis
The extended weather outlook over the next 7 days will still be fairly active through the end of the week with plowable snow. Readings will be much colder into the weekend and through much of next week. We're also keep an eye on additional snow chances next week.
Extended Temperature Outlook For Minneapolis
Here's the ECMWF extended temperature outlook for Minneapolis over the next several days shows warmer than average temps through the end of the week before MUCH colder weather moves in this weekend and most of next week.
8 to 14 Day Temperature Outlook
According to NOAA's Climate Prediction Center, the 8 to 14 day temperature outlook shows cooler than average temps across the eastern two-thirds of the nation. Warmer than average temps will be found in the Southwestern US.
8 to 14 Day Precipitation Outlook
According to NOAA's Climate Prediction Center, the 8 to 14 Day precipitation outlook shows more active weather in place across the northern tier of the nation and along the East Coast, while drier weather will settle in from the Southwest through the Central US.
Maps Looking Very Wintry Into Christmas
Paul Douglas
A have a strong hunch that Christmas 2022 will be very white. And Nanook. Pioneer-cold. The Winter Solstice is 5 days away - it gets dark after lunchtime now. Endless nights up north are brewing up frigid airmasses, and one such shotgun blast of frigid air is aimed at much of the US next week. "Extra-fresh" in Minnesota!
A stalled storm will pull waves of snow into Minnesota from Wisconsin today (odd, but it happens) and I could see 3-6" before snow tapers late Friday. Plowable for the metro and much of central Minnesota, but potentially crippling along Lake Superior's North Shore, where some 20-30" amounts may pile up.
This weekend looks quiet with temperatures drooping through the 20s (Saturday) into the teens (Sunday) with some single digit highs next week.
But wait, there's more. The approach of an even colder cold front may set up windswept snow next Wednesday and Thursday. Blizzard conditions are possible late next week. Christmas weekend temperatures will flirt with zero. I'm so sorry Santa.
Extended Forecast
THURSDAY: Accumulating snow. Winds: NW 7-12. High: 33.
THURSDAY NIGHT: Snow continues. Winds: W 5-10. Low: 28.
FRIDAY: Light snow lingers. Snow totals: 3-6". Winds: NW 10-20. High: 30.
SATURDAY: Lingering clouds and flurries. Winds: NW 10-20. Wake-up: 17. High: 22.
SUNDAY: Peeks of sun, chilly Winds: NW 8-13. Wake-up: 5. High: 14.
MONDAY: Partly sunny and cold. Winds: NW 7-12. Wake-up: -2. High: 6.
TUESDAY: Numbing start, clouds increase. Winds: NW 5-10. Wake-up: -7. High: 2.
WEDNESDAY: Snow, potential blowing/drifting. Winds: E 10-25. Wake-up: 0. High: 15.
This Day in Weather History
December 15th
1971: A snowstorm hits Duluth with 10 inches.
Average High/Low for Minneapolis
December 15th
Average High: 29F (Record: 58F set in 2021)
Average Low: 15F (Record: -21F set in 1901)
Record Rainfall: 0.71" set in 1902
Record Snowfall: 7.0" set in 1902
Sunrise/Sunset Times for Minneapolis
December 15th
Sunrise: 7:43am
Sunset: 4:32pm
Hours of Daylight: ~8 hours & 48 minutes
Daylight LOST since yesterday: ~31 seconds
Daylight LOST since Summer Solstice (June 21st): ~ 6 hour & 48 minutes
Moon Phase for December 15th at Midnight
0.1 Days Before Last Quarter
National High Temps on Thursday
The weather outlook on Thursday will be colder across the Western US in the wake of the massive storm system. Meanwhile, areas of snow will continues across the Midwest, Great Lakes and into the Northeast.
National Weather Outlook Thursday
The weather outlook for Thursday shows active weather continuing across the northern tier of the nation with scattered strong to severe storms in the Southeastern US.
National Weather Outlook
The major storm system will continue to wobble across the Midwest through the end of the week with areas of snow. Heavy wintry precipitation will develop in the Northeast with considerable impacts through the weekend. Widely scattered showers and storms will continue in the Southeast on Thursday, some of which will be strong to severe with locally heavy rains.
Extended Precipitation Outlook
According to NOAA's Weather Prediction Center, the extended precipitation outlook shows heavy precipitation across the much of the Eastern half of the nation. There will also be some heavy precipitation across the Gulf Coast States and the northern tier of the nation.
Snowfall Potential
According to the ECMWF (European model), heavy snow will be possible over the next several days across the northern tier of the nation. Some of the heaviest will be found in the mountains out West, The Midwest, Great Lakes and into the Northeast.
Climate Stories
"'PORTABLE WIND-FARM' WITH A FOLDING DESIGN LETS YOU HARNESS RENEWABLE WIND ENERGY ANYWHERE YOU GO"
"Because solar panels are yesterday's news… The beauty of wind is that it isn't really tied to the time of day the way the sun is. You could easily generate wind energy at night as you could in the daytime. The only barrier so far has been the fact that setting up your own wind farm is ridiculously expensive and space-intensive. In comes Jackery's AIR-W, a portable, lightweight wind energy generator with a folding design that allows it to be as compact and easy to carry as a set of solar panels. Crafted with a thermoplastic carbon-fiber composite body, the AIR-W is hyper-portable and stands at approximately 5 feet all. It sports two wind turbines stacked vertically, with folding blades that open out in the shape of a fan when needed, and a tripod-style base with built-in nails that let you firmly fix the AIR-W on any type of land or terrain. Set it up and you now have your own personal wind farm capable of generating up to 200W of output power, enough to juice your laptop, phone, wireless speaker, tablet, and drone together!"
"Get Santa a Raincoat: The New Arctic Is Wetter and Warmer"
"Climate change is rapidly transforming the Arctic into an almost unrecognizable new region, the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration's annual Arctic Report Card has found. The report, released Tuesday and authored by 147 scientists from 11 countries, is full of cheerful updates on just how quickly climate change is altering one of the world's most sensitive regions. For instance, the report finds that 2022 had the sixth warmest air temperatures ever recorded in the Arctic; the past seven years have together been the warmest since records began in 1900. To make matters even worse, 2022 marked the 25th consecutive year that the Greenland ice sheet, which "has immediate and global influence on sea level rise," has ended the year smaller than it began. Fun!"
"Is California's drought over? Water providers still predict shortages next year"
"December has delivered a powerful punch of storms to California. But the wet weather comes with a dry dose of reality: The state's largest reservoirs remain badly depleted, projected water deliveries are low, wells are drying up, and the Colorado River's water, already diminished by a megadrought, is severely overallocated. Throughout California, urban water managers are bracing for a fourth consecutive drought year. Nearly one out of every five water agencies — 76 out of 414 — in a recent state survey predict that they won't have enough water to meet demand next year. That means they are likely to impose more severe restrictions on customers, with some Southern California providers considering a ban on all outdoor watering."
Thanks for checking in and don't forget to follow me on Twitter @TNelsonWX
But next week will end with comfortable 60s and 70s.