In early March, Gregory Rich bought a stylish midcentury modern office building in Edina. His plan: Create a one-stop shopping destination for people doing homebuilding, design and renovation projects.
His goal is to fill "The District Edina" with design-related firms that already have a presence in the Twin Cities, but need a satellite showroom with 1,200 to 3,000 square feet.
Today, with economic uncertainties looming, he has tweaked his strategy and is now targeting firms that suddenly realized they have too much space and want to downsize during whatever economic contraction is underway.
"Rather than carrying large, expensive showrooms in these presumably lean times," he said, "[firms can] cut the overhead, downsize the footprint and wait for the inevitable rebound."
Today, the National Kitchen & Bath Association and John Burns Real Estate Consulting said that its 2020 Kitchen & Bath Market Index, which surveys professionals in building/construction, manufacturing, design and retail sales on industry conditions, shows that 69% of all kitchen and bath projects have been affected by the pandemic, mostly in the way of postponements rather than cancellations.
Home-improvement spending in the Twin Cities metro is expected to slow dramatically this year. Last year remodeling spending was increasing at an annual rate of 4% to 6% in the metro, but it is expected to post only half that gain by the end of 2020, according to the Remodeling Futures Program at the Joint Center for Housing Studies at Harvard University. The Twin Cities is one of only 15 large metros where spending is expected to eke out even a modest gain while most metros are likely to see a decline.
"Although the pandemic is lowering prospects for remodeling everywhere, relatively more affordable metros in the Midwest and Sun Belt should be among the brighter spots for home improvements this year," said Sophia Wedeen, a program research assistant, in a statement.
Homebuilding in the Twin Cities so far this spring has been relatively strong, but permits to build rental apartments have been down and Brent Wittenberg of Marquette Advisors recently predicted that only 80% of the apartment units proposed this year will actually get built. The prospect of a contraction has caused several architecture and design firms in the Twin Cities to cut back on staff or deploy furloughs.