Michael Russo's NHL season preview and predictions

October 12, 2016 at 10:26AM
Pittsburgh Penguins players pose for photos with the Stanley Cup after Game 6 of the NHL Finals against the San Jose Sharks. Can the Penguins repeat with Sidney Crosby injured to begin the season?
Pittsburgh Penguins players pose for photos with the Stanley Cup after Game 6 of the NHL Finals against the San Jose Sharks. Can the Penguins repeat with Sidney Crosby injured to begin the season? (Brian Stensaas — Associated Press/The Minnesota Star Tribune)

The way the NHL stacks up might look a lot like it finished last season, although Pittsburgh faces a hard road to defend its title with Sidney Crosby sidelined as the puck drops Wednesday night. The Sharks and the Lightning get our early nod for the Stanley Cup Final, with the Wild poised to be where it often seems to be — on the playoff bubble.

Wednesday's opening schedule

Toronto at Ottawa, 6 p.m.

St. Louis at Chicago, 7 p.m. (NBCSN)

Calgary at Edmonton, 9 p.m.

Los Angeles at San Jose, 9:30 p.m. (NBCSN)

Thursday's Wild opener

7 p.m. at St. Louis (FSN)

Western conference predictions

CENTRAL DIVISION PLAYOFF TEAMS

1. Dallas Stars

Alex Goligoski (33) celebrated with teammates after scoring a goal in the third period. ] CARLOS GONZALEZ cgonzalez@startribune.com - April 24, 2016, St. Paul, MN, Xcel Energy Center, NHL, Hockey, Minnesota Wild vs. Dallas Stars, First Round Stanley Cup Playoffs, Game 6
(The Minnesota Star Tribune)

2015-16: 50-23-9, 1st (109 points)

Providing Tyler Seguin stays healthy, the highest-scoring team in the NHL last season will light it up again with Jamie Benn captaining the ship. Goaltending remains the biggest concern.

2. St. Louis Blues

2015-16: 49-24-9, 2nd (107 points)

The great unknown is how Jake Allen will handle No. 1 duties without Brian Elliott, but even without David Backes, this is a loaded team led by Vladimir Tarasenko, Alex Pietrangelo and a horde of up-and-comers.

3. Chicago Blackhawks

2015-16: 47-26-9, 3rd (103 points)

As usual, General Manager Stan Bowman had to nip and tuck to keep the Jonathan Toews-Patrick Kane-led Hawks out of salary cap purgatory. Gone are three key players, including Andrew Shaw, but the Hawks always are a contender.

PACIFIC DIVISION PLAYOFF TEAMS

1. San Jose Sharks

San Jose Sharks' Logan Couture (39) celebrates his goal against the Pittsburgh Penguins with teammates during the first period in Game 5 of the NHL hockey Stanley Cup Finals on Thursday, June 9, 2016, in Pittsburgh. (AP Photo/Gene J. Puskar)
(The Minnesota Star Tribune)

2015-16: 46-30-6, 6th (98 points)

Last season's Cup finalist will be a target all season, but they're fast and explosive with Logan Couture, Joe Pavelski and Brent Burns speeding all over the rink. As usual, Joe Thornton still plays at a high level.

2. Los Angeles Kings

2015-16: 48-28-6, 5th (102 points)

Never seems to score as much as they should and their blue line depth isn't the greatest, but Jonathan Quick's still in goal and Anze Kopitar, Jeff Carter, Tyler Toffoli and Drew Doughty are plenty to win.

3. Anaheim Ducks

2015-16: 46-25-11, 4th (103 points)

After a 1-7-2 start last season, they were one of the best teams in the NHL before their first-round exit. The question is how Corey Perry and Ryan Getzlaf react to Randy Carlyle's return as coach.

WILD-CARD TEAMS

7. Minnesota Wild

Minnesota Wild head coach Bruce Boudreau during practice earlier in training camp.
(Brian Stensaas — Star Tribune/The Minnesota Star Tribune)

2015-16: 38-33-11, 8th (87 points)

Take out the latest midseason swoon, and the Wild was one of the top teams in the West in the first half and March on. Bruce Boudreau and Eric Staal should help, but it wouldn't be a Wild season if it wasn't a nail-biter until the end.

8. Nashville Predators

2015-16: 41-27-14, 7th (96 points)

The Predators better hope Pekka Rinne is better than he was in the World Cup, but PK Subban should make for some fun firewagon hockey and Filip Forsberg and James Neal are studs up front.

REST OF THE WEST

9. Winnipeg Jets

The Winnipeg Jets' Blake Wheeler
(Brian Wicker — Associated Press/The Minnesota Star Tribune)

2015-16: 35-39-8, 11th (78 points)

Biggest team in the NHL will be a chore to face up front with Blake Wheeler and Mark Scheifele joined by rookies Patrick Laine and Kyle Connor, but can they stay out of the box and can their goalies stop pucks?

10. Calgary Flames

2015-16: 35-40-7, 12th (77 points)

A big disappointment last season, they've got a goalie in Brian Elliott now after they were last in goals against last season. Johnny Gaudreau finished seventh in NHL scoring, and they're solid on the back end.

11. Colorado Avalanche

2015-16: 39-39-4, 9th (82 points)

Patrick Roy's departure will be addition by subtraction and Nathan MacKinnon and Matt Duchene are coming off solid World Cups. But the blue line is just not good enough.

12. Arizona Coyotes

2015-16: 35-39-8, 10th (78 points)

Young up-and-coming team, but the Coyotes will have to worry about second-year blues from Max Domi and Anthony Duclair. But this team, which signed Alex Goligoski and brought back Radim Vrbata, is building the right way.

13. Edmonton Oilers

2015-16: 31-43-8, 14th (70 points)

Gone are former No. 1 overall picks Taylor Hall and Nail Yakupov and in comes a second year of Connor McDavid, defenseman Adam Larsson and free agent Milan Lucic. But last season, they couldn't score or defend, which is a bad combination.

14. Vancouver Canucks

2015-16: 31-38-13, 13th (75 points)

Loui Eriksson was a solid pickup, but the second-lowest scoring team last season just seems to be a blah team off the rails right now and a long ways off from the one that went to the Cup Final five years ago.

Eastern Conference predictions

ATLANTIC DIVISION PLAYOFF TEAMS

1. Tampa Bay Lightning

The Lightning's Nikita Kucherov (86) was greeted by teammates Tyler Johnson (9) and Victor Hedman (77) after scoring to tie the game against the Penguins during the third period of Game 5 of the Stanley Cup Eastern Conference finals Sunday in Pittsburgh. Johnson got the 4-3 game-winner in overtime on a deflection.
(Brian Wicker — Associated Press/The Minnesota Star Tribune)

2015-16: 46-31-5, 6th (97 points)

After the Lightning reached the conference semifinals without Steven Stamkos, the star stunned everybody by re-signing. Stacked again with Victor Hedman, Tyler Johnson, Ondrej Palat and Nikita Kucherov.

2. Detroit Red Wings

2015-16: 41-30-11, 8th (93 points)

Dylan Larkin, Gustav Nyquist, Riley Sheahan and Tomas Tatar supply a strong core, and veteran Frans Nielsen gives Detroit more depth up the middle.

3. Montreal Canadiens

2015-16: 38-38-6, 13th (82 points)

The Habs executed the biggest pickup in the NHL, and it wasn't even Shea Weber. Goalie Carey Price is back; Montreal was a top team last year until Price's knee injury.

METROPOLITAN DIVISION PLAYOFF TEAMS

1. Washington Capitals

Washington Capitals center Evgeny Kuznetsov (92) tries to score against Pittsburgh Penguins goalie Matt Murray (30) and defenseman Trevor Daley (6) during the second period of Game 2 in an NHL hockey Stanley Cup Eastern Conference semifinals Saturday, April 30, 2016 in Washington. Capitals left wing Alex Ovechkin, left, looks on. (AP Photo/Pablo Martinez Monsivais)
(The Minnesota Star Tribune)

2015-16: 56-18-8, 1st (120 points)

Ran away with the NHL during last year's regular season and should do so again with Alex Ovechkin, Nicklas Backstrom and Evgeny Kuznetsov. Braden Holtby continues to be one of the NHL's top goalies.

2. Pittsburgh Penguins

2015-16: 48-26-8, 2nd (104 points)

Last season's Stanley Cup champion was a well-oiled machine once it got into the playoffs. The concern this season is a natural Cup hangover and the concussion that has sidelined superstar Sidney Crosby.

3. Philadelphia Flyers

2015-16: 41-27-14, 7th (96 points)

A wild-card team last season, the Flyers are going to continue to get better with a young D led by Shayne Gostisbehere and a good amount of firepower up front with by Claude Giroux, Wayne Simmonds and Brayden Schenn.

WILD-CARD TEAMS

New York Islanders goalie Jaroslav Halak (41), of the Czech Republic, stops a point-blank shot by Minnesota Wild right wing Justin Fontaine (14) during the first period of an NHL hockey game, Tuesday, Feb. 23, 2016, in St. Paul, Minn. (AP Photo/Paul Battaglia)
(The Minnesota Star Tribune)

7. New York Islanders

2015-16: 45-27-10, 5th (100 points)

As long as goalie Jaroslav Halak is healthy, the Isles have more than enough talent, especially up front with star John Tavaras, pickup Andrew Ladd and Minnesotans Brock Nelson and Anders Lee.

8. Florida Panthers

2015-16: 47-26-9, 3rd (103 points)

Big worry is how Jonathan Huberdeau's long-term injury and Nick Bjugstad's broken hand affects things from the outset, but Aleks Barkov, Vincent Trocheck, Aaron Ekblad and Reilly Smith are capable.

REST OF THE EAST

9. New York Rangers

2015-16: 46-27-9, 4th (101 points)

Wound up skating into the playoffs effectively last season, but still ... Rookie Jimmy Vesey should be the real deal, but will goalie Henrik Lundqvist, 34, crack?

10. Boston Bruins

2015-16: 42-31-9, 9th (93 points)

David Backes should look good in black and gold and Patrice Bergeron, Brad Marchand and David Krejci will continue to run the show, but Zdeno Chara's decline highlights serious blue line holes.

11. New Jersey Devils

2015-16: 38-36-8, 12th (84 points)

GM Ray Shero is methodically building this team the right way, and infusing more offense to a conservative team. The Taylor Hall trade should pay big dividends.

12. Ottawa Senators

2015-16: 38-35-9, 11th (85 points)

Derick Brassard trade was a good one. There's talent, including superstar D Erik Karlsson, but they finished 26th in the NHL in goals against last season.

13. Buffalo Sabres

2015-16: 35-36-11, 14th (81 points)

GM Tim Murray is putting his stamp on this team, and the latest move was throwing a wad of cash at Kyle Okposo. Jack Eichel should take another big step.

14. Toronto Maple Leafs

2015-16: 29-42-11, 16th (69 points)

Rebuilding, with Auston Matthews, William Nylander and Mitchell Marner. They won't be an easy beat.

15. Columbus Blue Jackets

2015-16: 34-40-8, 15th (76 points)

John Tortorella has his work cut out this season. Brandon Saad popped in 31 goals, but Nick Foligno was a colossal flop.

16. Carolina Hurricanes

2015-16: 35-31-16, 10th (86 points)

In a complete rebuild, they have a lot of young talent led by Elias Lindholm and the acquisition of Teuvo Teravainen.

RUSSO'S TROPHY CASE

Hart Trophy (MVP)

Dallas Stars left wing Jamie Benn (14) stretches during warm-ups before of an NHL hockey game against the New Jersey Devils Friday, March 4, 2016, in Dallas. (AP Photo/LM Otero)
(The Minnesota Star Tribune)

Jamie Benn, Dallas

Maurice Richard Trophy (leading goal scorer)

Alex Ovechkin, Washington

Art Ross Trophy (most points)

Patrick Kane, Chicago

Norris Trophy (best defenseman)

1 June 2016: San Jose Sharks defenseman Brent Burns (88) skates in the spotlight before Game Two in the 2016 NHL Stanley Cup Final between the San Jose Sharks and the Pittsburgh Penguins at the Consol Energy Center in Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania. (Photo by Jeanine Leech/Icon Sportswire) (Icon Sportswire via AP Images) ORG XMIT: 264377
(The Minnesota Star Tribune)

Brent Burns, San Jose

Jack Adams Trophy (best coach)

Lindy Ruff, Dallas

Calder Trophy (best rookie)

Patrick Laine, Winnipeg

Breakout player

Leon Draisaitl, Edmonton

First coach fired

Willie Desjardins, Vancouver

Russo picks the playoffs

The San Jose Sharks pose for photos after a 5-2 win over the St. Louis Blues during Game 6 of the NHL hockey Stanley Cup Western Conference finals Wednesday, May 25, 2016, in San Jose, Calif. (AP Photo/Marcio Jose Sanchez)
(Brian Stensaas — Associated Press/The Minnesota Star Tribune)

Eastern Conference champion: Tampa Bay Western Conference champion: San Jose

Stanley Cup champion: San Jose

Last season's run will be a big learning lesson for this exhilarating team to watch.

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Michael Russo

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