No one knows what's next for the Minnesota Republican Party — not even Republicans.
Conservatives in the state and across the country were still grappling Thursday with the images they saw of an attempted insurrection and takeover of the U.S. Capitol, stoked by their sitting president.
"It's fair to say the Republican elevator has arrived in the basement," said former Gov. Tim Pawlenty, the last Republican to win statewide office in Minnesota. "The party will now predictably debate whether an improved version of Trump populism, an updated version of Reagan conservatism, better outreach or more celebrity candidates is the way forward."
Some prominent conservatives are hoping to cleave the party from Donald Trump and the mob who stormed the Capitol on Wednesday. They see it as their best hope to win statewide races in 2022 and beyond.
Others are skeptical about whether that's possible in a state where Trump's near-victory in 2016 left an indelible mark on the Republican base and its leadership. It's part of an identity crisis for a party that has struggled with debt and been shut out of statewide office for more than a decade.
For his part, Pawlenty said Republicans need to better grasp the current electorate. "That means better applying conservative principles to modern challenges, realities and opportunities," he said.
Trump's near-miss in 2016 was the closest any Republican presidential candidate came to winning Minnesota since 1984. And while Trump lost to Joe Biden in Minnesota by 7% of the vote, he turned out even more Republican voters than he did in 2016.
Former Minnesota Republican U.S. Sen. Norm Coleman said Trump's brand of populism resonated with so many voters in Minnesota who thought they weren't being heard.