HANOI, VIETNAM – Dr. Bui Xuan Hiep, head of tuberculosis control in this city's Hoang Mai district, paged proudly through a large handwritten patient log. "This district's cure rate averages 90 percent," he said. Still, Bui could see problems.
Seven patients had turned up with multidrug-resistant tuberculosis; four had been cured, two had died — and one had simply disappeared.
It's a story repeated throughout Vietnam. The nation was once racked by a tuberculosis epidemic, but the country now boasts a 90 percent cure rate for uncomplicated cases and cures 75 percent of its drug-resistant cases, easily beating the global average, 50 percent.
Public health officials worldwide have made remarkable progress against tuberculosis, but Ban Ki-moon, U.N. secretary-general, warned that an estimated that 1.5 million worldwide would die of the disease this year.
There is no better example of how fragile this success may be than Vietnam. Hospital wards are packed dangerously full, raising the risk that drug-resistant strains will spread.
The easy-to-reach patients have been treated, and many of the rest are the hardest to help: heroin-addicted couriers and laborers from the Golden Triangle, and mountain villagers who are barely connected to the health care system. But the biggest threat is that the money is close to running out.
"Our TB program is cost-effective and has great impact," said Dr. Nguyen Viet Nhung, its national director. "But I always emphasize that this is a preliminary success. We need to sustain it."
To reach Vietnam's ambitious goal of pushing prevalence rates down to 20 cases per 100,000 residents — essentially eliminating tuberculosis as a public health problem — its program needs to spend at least $66 million a year. It now spends about $26 million a year.