Morning Hot Dish: Labor's revenge

Morning Hot Dish

By J. Patrick Coolican

Labor's revenge

The Minnesota labor movement had a crisis moment Wednesday, fuming about what was coming out of the various compromise deals between Gov. Mark Dayton and the Legislature. The teachers lost on "LIFO light" and the licensure provisions they opposed; a negotiated increase for home health care workers was cut in half, hitting SEIU's new bargaining unit; and, AFSCME was alarmed by a provision in the yet-to-be-released state government finance bill that would have upended the presumption of contract ratifications. The last one is obscure but important. Currently public employee unions negotiate with the administration, and the contract is ratified by a legislative subcommittee. If the subcommittee doesn't have a quorum or if it's a tie vote, the contract goes into effect until the legislative session when it gets an up or down vote. Rep. Sarah Anderson wants to require an affirmative vote of the subcommittee to ratify, arguing that we never allow something to become law without an affirmative vote.

Again, obscure, but a huge deal for labor. Eliot Seide, executive director of AFSCME Council 5 and considered one of the top labor leaders in the country, called it a "Trojan horse to end collective bargaining." The point of the legislation is to have the union negotiate with the Legislature instead of the executive branch, which he called "unwieldy and impossible to get to an agreement." Republicans in the Legislature, he argues, could just refuse to negotiate, and workers would never get a raise. "The authors don't believe workers should have a right to collectively bargain," he told me.

Republicans say this is all overblown, that they control the subcommittee on employee relations right now because they control the Legislature, so they already effectively have the power to stop contracts.

But labor sees this as the beginning of efforts to turn Minnesota into Wisconsin, which again points to the importance of the 2018 election, when Republicans can take control of all of state government for the first time in the modern era. There are two pillars of the DFL's money machine: A handful of wealthy individuals, and labor. Every election cycle you'll see $100K checks from AFSCME to the House and Senate DFL caucuses. Look at what's happened in Wisconsin to labor and to the Democratic Party there.

This all points to another fact: When the leaders appeared Monday night and said they had a deal, they didn't really have a deal. They had "the framework of a deal."

"Everyone was working in good faith to get to an agreement. The big stuff was signed off on. Remaining issues were stickier than anyone thought they would be," said a DFL operative close to the process. A GOP lawmaker agreed with this assessment. These bills have hundreds of pages and a lot of details to work out. But leaders wanted to keep everyone in town and keep working, because once everyone goes home and the special interest groups start whipping up conflict, compromise gets harder. That's why they didn't show us seven bills Tuesday night. They weren't close to ready.

It also explains the furious spinning I was getting Wednesday, including two unsolicited calls from Republicans telling me the overnight debacle (our story on overnight/Wednesday events/non-events) was all the fault of House DFL Minority Leader Melissa Hortman. She was breaking the agreement. She had no control over her caucus, they fumed. It was a little rich -- the minority leader really has this much power? Hmmm. Where are the bills? Why is the Senate also stuck? But I suspect they were just trying to stay on offense as the negotiations continued, especially when they saw labor and other progressive groups at the Capitol.

But there's a light at end of the tunnel. Health and human services and state government finance are finally ready, which means we'll have marathon sessions today and maybe into tonight, but they'll finish and everybody gets to go home for Memorial Day weekend.

Happy 150th to the Star Tribune! We'll be celebrating with a party tonight but (sad trombones) I'll be at the Legislature.

This"Here's 30 pieces of silver to pay the Devil on your way to hell." youtu.be/3_fhfRODOmc #mnsen

More aggressive tweeting, from Justin Perpich: "Unpopular opinion here but it's safe to say we wouldn't be in this mess if House/Senate DFL ran 21st century campaigns."

Whoa.

Love this profile of Maggie Haberman, the most important White House reporter of the Trump era. What a badass:

Last June, Haberman got the tip that Trump campaign manager Corey Lewandowski had been fired while she was sitting in the audience at her son's kindergarten graduation. Ashley Parker, now a Washington Post White House correspondent but then one of Haberman's colleagues at the Times, says Haberman confirmed the tip and wrote the story on her phone during the graduation. Her son didn't have school after the ceremony, so Haberman brought him with her to a politics meeting at the Times. "She came into the Page One conference room, and there was this huge round of applause," Parker says. "Part of it was for her son graduating kindergarten, and part of it was for Maggie for breaking this awesome scoop."

Haberman's bullshit detector is appreciated by partisans on both sides: Even if they can't spin her, they know the other side won't be able to spin her either. "You can change her mind," Madden says. "You can offer perspective, you can offer insight, you can offer details, but they've got to be locked down." Haberman has reached the point in her career where sources are now chasing her, instead of the other way around—lying to her risks banishment and access to her news-promulgating prowess. "If you're going to come at her," says a Democratic operative, "you've got to come correct."

Sen. Ted Cruz not thrilled by how Sen. Al Franken describes him in his new book.

Franken has pre-taped a bunch of material for the Grateful Dead channel on Sirius XM Satellite Radio, to run Tuesday, including discussions of some shows he's been to while they play them. Should be eminently entertaining. "Once in awhile you get shown the light, in the strangest places if you look at it right...."

Are you confused by the Seth Rich conspiracy theory controversy? Dave Weigel is a good guide.

Democrats have a problem with anti-abortion candidates and their supporters: Buzzfeed.

The problem, for the confederation of Democrats, pundits, Obama holdovers, and NeverTrumpers who hoped to see that result, has been that so far, after a lot of investigating, no evidence has emerged that collusion actually occurred. Although they allowed that previously unknown proof could always emerge, last week some of the lawmakers most deeply involved in the investigation, and most closely in touch with the intelligence community and law enforcement working on the probe, conceded that there appeared to be no there there. That was then. Now, rather than focusing on alleged collusion, the thrust of leaks in recent days has been directed almost exclusively toward building a case of obstruction of justice against the president, charging that he actively tried to derail the investigation into his campaign and his associates. More and more, day after day, Trump's adversaries believe that, when it comes to bringing down the president, it might not matter if collusion occurred or not. A cover-up would be enough to do the job.

Important for 2018: Trump's "strongly approve" number is shrinking: 538. This means there's possibility of an enthusiasm gap.

Trump's tax plan has an obvious math error, but that's never stopped Washington from enacting a policy.

Maya Rao will finish up the week, and unless the Legislature is still around next week or there's big news, no newsletter. Have a nice holiday and see you in June.

Correspond: patrick.coolican@startribune.com and @jpcoolican.