Mark Craig's Week 12 NFL picks: Shake-ups in standings and staffing could be in store

One intriguing interconference matchup, two key South division games and a Justin Herbert-Lamar Jackson prime-time meeting highlight Week 12's Sunday slate of games.

The Bills (6-5) and their penchant for turning the ball over (19) head into Philadelphia to face an Eagles team that's a league-best 9-1 despite a minus-1 turnover differential.

In the AFC South, the Texans (6-4) host the Jaguars (7-3) with first place on the line. Houston won at Jacksonville 37-17 in Week 3.

In the NFC South, first place could belong to a sub-.500 team after New Orleans (5-5) travels to Atlanta (4-6) for the teams' first meeting of the year.

And in L.A., Herbert and the disappointing Chargers (4-6) host Jackson and the 8-3 Ravens. In their only other meeting, Jackson's Ravens beat Herbert's Chargers 34-6 in 2021.

Here are five games to watch:

Bears (+2½) at Vikings: With better coaching, Justin Fields could win. Translation: Take the Vikings on Monday night. Vikings 24, Bears 17

Chiefs (-8½) at Raiders: Everyone's down on the butterfingered Chiefs. So, naturally, they'll rise up, catch everything and win. Chiefs 27, Raiders 16

Bills (+3½) at Eagles: There is absolutely zero reason to believe the Eagles will lose this game. NFL translation: Eagles lose. Bills 24, Eagles 23

Ravens (-3 ½) at Chargers: Is there a more disappointing team than the Chargers? Nope. Sunday night beatdown will cost someone a job come Monday. Ravens 37, Chargers 21

Jaguars (-1 ½) at Texans: Forget rookie of the year. If Houston sweeps the Jags to lead the division into December, C.J. Stroud is an MVP candidate. Texans 31, Jaguars 28

Season record straight up/against the spread: 39-30; 31-38.

Upset special: 3-8.

Lock of the Week: 10-1.

Vikings: 6-5.