Note to self: When your Upset Special is rolling along at 3-0, DO NOT take the Lions to upset ANYBODY. EVER! (See: Four red-zone blunders in last week's coulda-been-a-win loss to Chicago).
Note to self II: Don't panic when both of New Jersey's winless teams triumph in overtime on the same day for the first time ever. Stick with the plan and pick the Jets (+2½ at Atlanta) and Giants (+7 at Dallas) to resume losing by more than the point spread in Week 5.
Well, Week 4 was so NFL. Three of the five winless teams won. Four of the five undefeated teams lost. And Urban Meyer almost won, lost, aged another 10 years and probably wishes he had the ESPN gig back.
Mix it all together and this guesstimator came out 8-8 straight up and 7-9 against the spread last week.
The record for picking Vikings games did, however, improve to 3-1 when it was accurately predicted that new-schooler Kevin Stefanski would out-Zimmer Mike Zimmer with an old-schooler's love of power and pass rushing. Next up for the Vikings: A guaranteed, 100%, take-it-to-the-bank lock that the Vikings will blow out the Lions. (Probably?)
The Jaguars will upset the Titans at home, leaving the Lions as the only winless team, while the Cardinals will extend their stay as the only undefeated team for one more week.
As for the Upset Special, go Bears! And sorry about that Lions pick last week.
