Mark Craig's NFL Week 5 picks: Lions and Packers and Cowboys, oh my!

The Star Tribune's NFL wizard of odds weighs in on Week 5, when the Vikings and Bengals are trying to avoid matching their loss total from last season.

October 6, 2023 at 5:12PM
Quarterback Brock Purdy and the 49ers are 4-0 heading into a Sunday night game against the Cowboys. (Godofredo A. Vásquez, Associated Press/The Minnesota Star Tribune)

Welcome to Week 5, where Houston doesn't have a problem, but Cincinnati and especially the Vikings very well could.

The Texans play in Atlanta with a chance for rookie head coach DeMeco Ryans to match last year's win total of three. Meanwhile, the Vikings and Bengals – both 1-3 — need wins at home against the Chiefs and at Arizona, respectively, to avoid matching last year's loss totals three weeks shy of Halloween.

Here are six games to keep a close eye on:

WHAT WILL THE VIKINGS DO?

Chiefs (-3 ½) at Vikings: Toto, I have a feeling the Vikings aren't playing Bryce Young anymore. Chiefs 41, Vikings 34

AROUND THE NFC NORTH

Panthers (+9½) at Lions: Receiver Jameson Williams returns from a gambling suspension to make Vikings fans even more angry about last year's first round. Lions 31, Panthers 17

Packers (+½) at Raiders: Maybe this week the Packers will try to play the first half in something other than the fetal position. Packers 21, Raiders 17

LOCK OF THE WEEK

Giants (+12½) at Dolphins: Toto, Daniel Jones has a feeling he's not playing Ed Donatell anymore. Dolphins 35, Giants 13

UPSET SPECIAL

Jets (+2 ½) at Broncos: If there is a football god in heaven, please make this happen and make Sean Payton shake Nathaniel Hackett's hand afterward. Jets 24, Broncos 20

GAME OF THE WEEK

Cowboys (+3 ½) at 49ers: Dak Prescott won't win, but he will make $2,297,985.12 more than Brock Purdy will make for playing this game. 49ers 28, Cowboys 21

SEASON RESULTS

Season record straight up/against the spread: 14-10; 13-11.

Upset special: 1-3.

Lock of the week: 4-0.

Vikings: 2-2.

about the writer

about the writer

Mark Craig

Sports reporter

Mark Craig has covered the NFL nearly every year since Brett Favre was a rookie back in 1991. A sports writer since 1987, he is covering his 30th NFL season out of 37 years with the Canton (Ohio) Repository (1987-99) and the Star Tribune (1999-present).

See More