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NHL playoffs go against the odds

All four division champs are home for the summer.

The Associated Press
April 26, 2019 at 2:53AM
Columbus Blue Jackets' Oliver Bjorkstrand, of Denmark, celebrates his goal against the Tampa Bay Lightning during the second period of Game 4 of an NHL hockey first-round playoff series, Tuesday, April 16, 2019, in Columbus, Ohio. (AP Photo/Jay LaPrete)
Oliver Bjorkstrand and Columbus swept Tampa Bay, which had dominated during the NHL regular season. (The Minnesota Star Tribune)

Barry Trotz knows better than most the razor-thin difference between agony and jubilation.

A year ago, his Washington Capitals were down 2-0 in their first-round series against Columbus and tied late in the third period of Game 3 when Blue Jackets winger Artemi Panarin's shot clanked off the post.

Had it gone in, the Blue Jackets might have swept, but instead the Capitals won in double overtime and went on to capture the Stanley Cup.

So when Trotz in this first round sees the major penalty that cost Vegas Game 7 against San Jose or the mistake that helped Carolina eliminate his old team in D.C., the New York Islanders coach figures, well, that's playoff hockey.

"It's like coming around a corner and there's a semi right there and you're going to get hit or you just get out of the way in time," Trotz said Thursday. "Nothing has really surprised me, but everything's surprised me."

Surprise, surprise, all four division champions lost in the first round for the first time in major four North American pro sports history, the teams that played in last year's Cup Final are out and the team that finished 21 points ahead of the rest of the NHL got swept.

It has been an astonishing April just a quarter of the way on the journey to hockey's holy grail with the Boston Bruins, Blue Jackets, Hurricanes, Islanders, San Jose Sharks, Colorado Avalanche, St. Louis Blues and Dallas Stars left standing.

"It'd be like two NFL conference championships games with only wild-card teams or the NCAA Final Four with a 9, an 11, a 12 and a 14 seed," University of Guelph sports business scholar Norm O'Reilly said.

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Someone who made a $10 parlay wager on all eight of these teams advancing would have cashed out with $11,000, according to pre-playoff odds by BetOnline.

Few could've predicted Presidents' Trophy-winning Tampa Bay getting swept by Columbus, 2016 and 2017 champion Pittsburgh getting swept by the Islanders and Western Conference top seed Calgary going out in five to Colorado.

NBC Sports analyst and former coach and executive Pierre McGuire said it has been amazing and fascinating to watch. But it's not just luck.

Because there's so much parity in the league today thanks to the salary cap, strong drafts and even expansion to Vegas, the margins are slimmer than ever.

"The first round was great, but it was a tactical first round with guys recognizing little trends in the games and little trends with the opposition that really helped them win," McGuire said.

"In parity, you have to have adjustments. If you're going to win, if everybody's equal, something has to be a tipping point. In a lot of these series, the tipping point has been marginal or really subtle adjustments that have made a huge difference."

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STEPHEN WHYNO

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