Oregon vs. Virginia prediction: Our NCAA tournament game breakdown

March 28, 2019 at 12:31AM

Inside the game

"Tournament flameouts" is a narrative Virginia would love to change. The only way to put doubts to rest is to advance to the Final Four. Oregon has found its footing following an uneven regular season after losing star center Bol Bol to a foot injury in December. The Ducks don't look like a traditional 12th seed.

Matchup to watch: Oregon offense vs. Virginia defense. The Cavaliers lead the nation in scoring defense, allowing only 55 points per game. The Ducks have averaged 72 points during their 10-game winning streak.

X-factor: Oregon's size. Coach Dana Altman switched his lineup, adding more size. The Ducks start four players who are 6-9. That new look helped Oregon hold its past 10 opponents to 34.9 percent shooting.

Three stars to watch

1. Kyle Guy, Virginia: Third-team All-America averaged 15.1 points and made 107 three-pointers.

2. Payton Pritchard, Oregon: Pac-12 tournament MVP has contributed 16.3 points per game during the winning streak.

3. De'Andre Hunter, Virginia: Sophomore forward averages 15.2 points, shoots 45 percent from three-point range and was named ACC Defensive Player of the Year.

Chip's prediction

Virginia wins 68-60. The Cavaliers survived a halftime scare in the first round, avoiding a repeat of last season's historic loss to a 16 seed.

Chip Scoggins

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