Players to watch as NFL free agency opens next week

NFL Insider Mark Craig picks the best bets, best bargains and most overrated players in this free agent class.

March 12, 2022 at 11:18PM
New Orleans Saints offensive tackle Terron Armstead looks to block against the New England Patriots during an NFL football game at Gillette Stadium, Sunday,Sept. 26, 2021 in Foxborough, Mass. (Winslow Townson/AP Images for Panini)
When healthy, Terron Armstead is a top left tackle in the NFL. (Winslow Townson/AP Images for Panini/The Minnesota Star Tribune)

NFL teams can begin negotiating with free agents at 11 a.m. Monday, and players can sign with clubs at the start of the league year at 3 p.m. Wednesday. Here's a look at the free-agent class.

TOP PLAYERS AVAILABLE

1. Terron Armstead, LT, Saints
Age in Week 1: 31

When healthy, he's a top-5 left tackle in a pass-crazed league. That's causing many teams to salivate despite Armstead having missed six or more games in four of the past six seasons, including nine last year.

2. J.C. Jackson, CB, Patriots
Age in Week 1: 26

He has a league-high 25 interceptions since entering the league as an undrafted free agent in 2018. He had nine picks in 2020, played last year under a $3.4 million second-round restricted tender and had eight more interceptions. Time to pay the man.

3. Chandler Jones, edge, Cardinals
Age in Week 1: 32

Age won't deter teams from trying to squeeze another year or two out of an elite edge rusher. Jones had 19 sacks in 2019 and 10 ½ last year. In the seven seasons he's started and played more than 10 games, he has produced double-digit sack totals.

BEST BARGAINS

1. Emmanuel Ogbah, edge, Dolphins
Age in Week 1: 28

A former second-round pick of the Browns, Ogbah has quietly raised his level of play with three teams in six years. He'll be a cost-effective candidate for a breakout season after back-to-back years with nine sacks in Miami.

2. Justin Reid, S, Texans
Age in Week 1: 25

He was one of the best young safeties his first two seasons (2018-19) and most likely has the Texans' dysfunctional dumpster fire of an organization to blame for any dropoff in production and last year's healthy scratch for disciplinary reasons.

3. JuJu Smith-Schuster, WR, Steelers
Age in Week 1: 25

He wasn't happy with the offers he got last year, so he turned down the Ravens and, yes, the Chiefs, to return to Pittsburgh. Then he hurt his shoulder and missed 12 games. The offers will be worse this year and he'll likely settle for a one-year, prove-it deal. Some team could cash in because this guy is still young enough recapture the 1,400-yard season he had in 2018 or the 97 catches he had in 2020.

OVERRATED, OVERPRICED

1. Brandon Scherff, G, Commanders
Age in Week 1: 30

Like Kirk Cousins, he played on back-to-back franchise tags in Washington. Like Cousins, he will sign a mega deal for his position. Unlike Cousins, he isn't durable, having missed a total of 24 games over the past five years.

2. Stephon Gilmore, CB, Panthers
Age in Week 1: 31

He was NFL Defensive Player of the Year in 2019. This isn't 2019. Gilmore missed 11 games with injuries in 2020 and eight last year with the Patriots and Panthers. He'll probably get close to $13 million a year for his name. His body is 31.

3. Mitchell Trubisky, QB, Bills
Age in Week 1: 28

There seems to be a lot of chatter about Trubisky getting starter's money somewhere, possibly following Brian Daboll from Buffalo to the Giants to replace Daniel Jones. Question: What happened in his one year as Bills backup to erase the memories of his failed starting career in Chicago? Buyer beware!

DIAMOND IN THE ROUGH

Russell Gage, WR, Falcons
Age in Week 1: 26

Gage is a second-tier, under-the-radar option who can pile up first downs as a No. 2-3 target. He had 50 first downs and four TDs on 72 catches two years ago and had another solid season last year. He was the ninth-best receiver in the league from Week 11 to the end of last season, according to Pro Football Focus. Gage also ranked fifth in so-called explosive catches (17) of 20 yards or more during that period.

Washington Football Team guard Brandon Scherff (75) blocks New York Giants defensive tackle Dexter Lawrence (97) during the second quarter of an NFL football game, Sunday, Jan. 9, 2022, in East Rutherford, N.J. (AP Photo/Frank Franklin II)
Guard Brandon Scherff, right.  (Frank Franklin II, Associated Press/The Minnesota Star Tribune)
about the writer

about the writer

Mark Craig

Sports reporter

Mark Craig has covered the NFL nearly every year since Brett Favre was a rookie back in 1991. A sports writer since 1987, he is covering his 30th NFL season out of 37 years with the Canton (Ohio) Repository (1987-99) and the Star Tribune (1999-present).

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