Proposed property tax hikes in Minneapolis and St. Paul will hit homeowners hardest in less wealthy pockets of the urban core, where fervent demand for low-cost houses is driving up values.
Minneapolis and St. Paul officials say median-valued homes will see a 7.8% and 6.3% increase, respectively, in the city portion of their tax bills next year. But roughly one in six residential properties in the two cities will see a spike of more than 15% next year, based on a Star Tribune analysis of Minneapolis and Ramsey County projected tax data.
The value of those homes is less than each city's median, on average. And the houses — which include rentals — are generally in areas with low but rising values, such as the East Side, North End and Frogtown areas of St. Paul, and the North Side, Powderhorn and Phillips areas of Minneapolis.


The value of Laura Fitzsimmons' home near Lake Phalen in St. Paul has risen 45% since 2015 to $169,000. Her city tax bill has nearly doubled in five years and — factoring schools, county and other taxes — the total bill is up by about $1,000.
"I will be looking very carefully this election at each council member," said Fitzsimmons, who is retired and lives on a fixed income. "The residents of the city and county are not a limitless pool of finances."
Fitzsimmons said many people in her greater neighborhood were low-income when they bought their homes, and their incomes haven't kept pace with property taxes. The hot housing market also makes it impractical to move.
"Just because your home can be valued at a certain rate doesn't mean you can afford to leave it," Fitzsimmons said. "People are saying, 'Isn't this funny. My house is worth all this much, but there's no way I can go anyplace.' "
The Star Tribune's analysis relied on Minneapolis and Ramsey County projections about how proposed levies in the two cities would affect individual residential parcels. It assumed St. Paul would not have to raise its levy more dramatically to pay garbage haulers, a possible outcome if the city votes down a referendum on organized trash collection this November.