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“We face the risk of a near-term great-power war, and we are unprepared,” said Bradley Bowman, senior director of the Center on Military and Political Power at the Foundation for Defense of Democracies. And this dangerous dynamic comes as the U.S. “confronts the most daunting geostrategic environment right now that we’ve seen since 1945 — and that view is consistent with the explicit assessment and conclusion of the bipartisan, congressionally mandated National Defense Strategy commission.”
Bowman, a former U.S. Army officer and Black Hawk helicopter pilot, served in Afghanistan and at the Pentagon. He also taught at West Point and Georgetown and for nine years was an adviser to members of the Senate Armed Services and Foreign Relations committees.
So it is with that vast experience and expertise that he cautions senators soon to consider President-elect Donald Trump’s nomination of Pete Hegseth — a Minnesota native, Iraq and Afghanistan veteran, and Fox News host — to be the nation’s next secretary of defense: “I would want someone who understands the severity of the threats we face, who sees them in the proper historical context.”
That context is constantly shifting, according to Mara Karlin, the interim director of the Foreign Policy Institute at the Johns Hopkins School of Advanced International Studies. Karlin, who served in national security roles for six secretaries of defense, wrote the lead article in Foreign Affair’s November/December issue examining today’s “World of War.”
“It is surprisingly difficult to characterize war at any given moment in time; doing so becomes easier only with hindsight,” Karlin wrote, adding: “Harder still is predicting what kind of war the future might bring. When war changes, the shape it takes almost always comes as a surprise.”
Among the many manifestations of this, Karlin said in an interview, is that “we are seeing the character of warfare to include the whole of society.”