As the American economy has begun its transition from the pandemic to what's next, a familiar woe has returned to many of the state's employers: Where are the workers?
While a labor shortage existed in Minnesota even before the pandemic, this time the conversation has been dominated by debate over the federal government's additional unemployment insurance benefits as a core cause. That's a fair discussion, but it feels a bit like arguing about the color of the wallpaper in a house that's getting completely remodeled right before our eyes.
The truth is, the American labor market is going through a major realignment between workers and businesses. Changing demographics are the underlying dynamic. Baby boomer retirements and declining birth rates have, over time, led to 70% of employers reporting a labor shortage — even before the pandemic started.
In Minnesota, almost half of our labor force growth in the past decade came from immigrants, which means the new workers of today look a lot different than a generation ago. Yet in many cases, we have struggled to train and integrate immigrants effectively into our economy, leading to pervasive income gaps that stifle growth. That has to change.
This inequality, between racial groups and between the rich and poor, has been simmering for a long time in America. Economists show that we've experienced the greatest increase in income inequality of any rich nation in the past several decades. According to the Economic Policy Institute, from 1978 to 2018 CEO compensation grew 940% adjusted for inflation, but just 12% for the typical worker.
Working people simply don't get paid enough to support their families. In fact, 80% of the open jobs in Minnesota today pay less than the average state wage, and 37% of them pay under $15 an hour.
Combine that with fears over in-person work due to the pandemic and major shortages in child care, and is it any wonder that job-seekers are being a bit picky about what they do next?
If Minnesota is going to address our labor shortage in a meaningful way, we need to be aggressive in adapting to these dynamics.