Life happens fast in the NFL.
Should the Vikings want Trey Lance, now that he appears to be available?
Trey Lance a Minnesota native, former North Dakota State standout and No. 3 pick in the 2021 NFL Draft has fallen on the 49ers depth chart. Should the Vikings be interested in acquiring him?
Just a little over two years ago, the 49ers traded three first-round picks and a third-rounder to move up nine spots to select Trey Lance No. 3 in the 2021 NFL Draft.
Lance, a Marshall, Minn. native who had flashed dual threat skills at North Dakota State, started two games as a rookie and was the 49ers No. 1 QB heading into 2022 before an ankle injury in Week 2 ended his season.
San Francisco eventually turned to Brock Purdy — the last pick in the 2022 draft — and he saved their season. Now he's their franchise starter. And Sam Darnold, like Lance a former No. 3 overall pick, just beat out Lance for the backup job on Wednesday.
From No. 3 in the draft to No. 3 on the depth chart is a rough journey.
Trade chatter has picked up, and the Vikings keep getting linked to Lance in national reports and betting odds list them as a favorite to land him. It's a potentially interesting idea, as I talked about on Thursday's Daily Delivery podcast, but we have to ask: Should the Vikings even want him, even if the cost is just a mid-round draft pick?
Here are three reasons for and three against the idea of the Vikings pursuing Lance:
PROS
*The Vikings don't have a clear path at quarterback beyond 2023, with Kirk Cousins slated to be a free agent. Lance, who still has two years left on his rookie deal counting this season, would be a relatively low-priced ($5.3 million cap hit for the Vikings in 2024) option with upside as a potential starter next season.
*Lance has some traits the Vikings seem to covet, including the ability to make plays with his legs. He would be an intriguing developmental project for Kevin O'Connell.
*Just two years ago, Lance was coveted enough for the 49ers to make a massive trade to get him at No. 3 overall. The raw talent is there, and a gamble that his lack of repetitions and bad injury luck will dissipate over time could pay off in a big way.
CONS
*Even with all the caveats, the fact that Lance has fallen this far on the 49ers' depth chart is a red flag. At a certain point, draft position ceases to matter. Is Lance good enough to be a starting-caliber NFL quarterback?
*One big knock on Lance is that he is not a very accurate passer. That's not an easy thing to fix, and it could be a deal-breaker for a coach like O'Connell.
*Lance would cost $3.7 million on the cap this season and $5.3 million next season if the Vikings traded for him. Those aren't big numbers in a vacuum, but they are a lot for a developmental player — which Lance would seem to be at the moment. The Vikings would need to like Lance a lot to take that kind of risk.
Bottom line: The timing seems awkward, and a Lance trade would create even more limbo for Kirk Cousins. The Vikings would be betting on Lance's upside if they eyed him as a potential 2024 starter, but it would at least given them a known option under contract for that year.
Here are four more things to know today:
*Slow down, Royce Lewis. I like the confidence, but this quote after Wednesday's 8-7 loss to the Brewers — when the Twins scored six runs of standout Milwaukee starter Corbin Burnes but the bullpen couldn't hold the lead — caught my attention: "Hitting the ball in the air off a guy like that, an ace pitcher, is pretty impressive. That's something looking forward to the playoffs, that's what you need to do."
The Twins have a 4.5-game lead in August and have been inconsistent all year. Let's sit tight on the playoff talk for a while.
*Shohei Ohtani has a ligament tear in his elbow, Mike Trout is headed back to the injured list and the Angels are 5-16 since the trade deadline, when they decided to be buyers instead of dealing Ohtani. Could it be any worse?
*Those skeptical (hand raised) about T.J. Hockenson's ear infection now have another Hockenson ailment to think about: lower back stiffness.
*Minnesota United manager Adrian Heath will be the featured guest on Friday's Daily Delivery podcast.
When he was hired after the disastrous 2016 season to reshape the Twins, Derek Falvey brought a reputation for identifying and developing pitching talent. It took a while, but the pipeline we were promised is now materializing.