Four weeks ago, Urban Meyer took the podium at Big Ten Media Days, anticipating questions about Braxton Miller's throwing shoulder, and worked quickly to ease concerns.
"It's been a very good summer," the third-year Ohio State coach said. "Our quarterback — I know we'll get asked that question — is ready to go. He's full-speed, in the best shape of his life."
Meyer stressed other concerns. The offensive line must replace four starters. The pass defense got torched in last season's final three games. Several other key players are gone from last year's 12-2 team, including running back Carlos Hyde, linebacker Ryan Shazier and offensive lineman Jack Mewhort.
The newly configured Big Ten East appeared to be, at the time, a two-team race between Ohio State and Michigan State. Miller was healthy, and he was going to make the Buckeyes go. Nineteen of 29 sportswriters covering the Big Ten picked Ohio State to win the conference title in Cleveland.com's annual poll.
So when the Big Ten's two-time offensive player of the year reinjured his shoulder last week, ending his season, it threw Ohio State's best-laid plans into the Olentangy River.
The Spartans now are the clear favorites, but upon closer inspection, maybe it should have been that way all along.
The Spartans went 13-1 last year, beating Ohio State in the Big Ten Championship Game and outmuscling Stanford in the Rose Bowl. Michigan State won all eight of its conference games by at least 10 points. Its only loss was a four-point tossup at Notre Dame.
This year, the Spartans could be even better. They might not be the only Big Ten team with a shot to reach the four-team College Football Playoff, but they're probably the best equipped to win it.