Severe Threat Saturday
According to NOAA's SPC, there is a risk of isolated strong to severe storms across parts of the region today. Isolated strong wind and hail events will be the primary threat with any of the stronger storms, but there could be a brief spin up tornado across the northern half of Minnesota.
Simulated Radar Through 7AM Sunday
Here's the simulated radar from early Saturday morning to 7AM Sunday. It appears that a round of storms will push through during the morning hours Saturday with a break in the action before another round of storms possibly develops in the afternoon and evening. Keep in mind that some of the storms could be strong with locally heavy rainfall.
Precipitation Potential Through Monday
Here's the rainfall potential through the weekend, which shows pockets of nearly 1" or more in a few locations, including some near the Twin Cities.
August Weather Summary For The Twin Cities
The first half of the month was hot and dry, but things have been a little cooler and wetter as of late. Through the first 25 days of August, temperatures are running just slightly above average and we're now running nearly -0.50" below average in the precipitation department.
9th Driest Summer at MSP
Here are the 15 driest summer's on record at MSP. Note that this summer (since June 1st) has been the 9th driest, last year was the 15th driest. If MSP doesn't see any additional rainfall through the rest of August, this would be the 6th driest summer on record.
Unsettled Through Monday, Then Very Nice!
Here's the weather outlook from AM Saturday to PM Friday. The weekend will be somewhat unsettled across the region with scattered showers and storms, some of which could be strong to severe with locally heavy rainfall. T-storms lingering through early Monday before working east of the region. A northwesterly wind arrives Tuesday, which will bring in a much more comfortable airmass. Lower temps and humidity values will make much of the upcoming week feel quite nice.
Minnesota Drought Update
Here's the latest drought update across Minnesota. Prior to last week's rain, severe drought was sitting at a little more than 2%, while Moderate drought was at nearly 10%. The good news is that we'll pick up some additional rainfall over the weekend, so we may see some additional improvement into next week.
Weather Outlook on Saturday
The weather outlook for Saturday shows temps running above average by nearly +5F with readings warming into the 70s and 80s. There could be a few low 90s across the Dakotas. There will also be a few showers and storms, some of which could be strong with locally heavy rainfall.