The state's newly minted education finance bill hit a number of sweet spots for St. Paul Public Schools: $52 million worth of new money for the 2023-24 school year alone.
Yet the state's second-largest district is projected to still come up short on the budget front, requiring it to use rainy-day funds to fill a looming deficit.
Enrollment again is tumbling, contract costs are certain to rise, positions funded previously by federal COVID-relief money now will be covered through the general fund. New investments are in the works, too, including a recently announced East African magnet school.
That could lead to a potential draw on reserves of $24.6 million, under a budget outline presented to school board members last week. This on the heels of what has been described as a historic investment in schools by state leaders.
Yet St. Paul's predicament is no surprise to Scott Croonquist, executive director of the Association of Metropolitan School Districts. He said inflation continues to drive up costs, federal relief funds are running out and most of the state's schools are losing students.
"The reality is our school districts are still going to be in the situation where budgets are very tight," Croonquist said, adding enrollment declines are especially harmful because it's hard to make cuts at the same pace.
St. Paul is projecting a loss of 800 students — resulting in a $12.8 million hit to the 2023-24 budget, said Tom Sager, the district's executive chief of financial services. He plans to submit a draft budget to board members on June 6 and then a final budget for board action on June 20.
The district does not yet have a price tag for the total 2023-24 budget. Its budget for this school year was about $962 million.