Still Below Average Thursday With Sun/Cloud Mix

Looking back at October, now that we have reached November, we were above average across the board in the Twin Cities. The average temperature of 51.9F was the 37th warmest October on record and 2.4F above average. Two 1"+ rainfall days during the month helped lift the rainfall total for the month to 4.50" - the 15th wettest October on record. It was also the 10th snowiest October with 2.7" - with all of the accumulating snow falling on the 30th and 31st.

As we take a closer look at Twin Cities temperatures last month, the warmest high of October was on the 1st at 92F and the coldest low was 24F on the 30th - a 68F degree temperature swing from the start to the end of the month! What is interesting is that the first three days of October saw highs in the 80s and 90s, and then after that highs were only in the 30s, 50s, and 60s. This marks only the sixth October in Twin Cities history (back to 1872) with no highs in the 70s.

Southern Minnesota got socked with several rain events during the month of October, leading to rainfall amounts that were 1-2.5" above average. Meanwhile, northern Minnesota saw mostly below-average precipitation - the exception being International Falls.

Almost all climate sites that report snow across the state saw above-average snowfall in the month of October - the exception being Duluth.

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Of the 2.7" that fell over the last two days of the month in the Twin Cities, 1.8" of that fell on Tuesday (Halloween). That makes Halloween 2023 the second snowiest on record - only behind the 8.2" that fell at the start of the famed 1991 Halloween Blizzard.

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More clouds than sun is expected in northern Minnesota on Thursday, with a partly cloudy day expected in the southern half of the state. Highs range from around freezing in northwestern portions of the state to the 40s in southern Minnesota and western Wisconsin.

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We'll have a breakdown of weather across the state for the first weekend of November (Firearm Deer Opener), but for the metro:

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Saturday marks the Minnesota Firearm Deer Opener. According to the Minnesota State Climatology Office: "The normal high temperature for the first weekend in November ranges from the upper 30s across northern Minnesota to the upper 40s near the Iowa border. The average low temperature is in the 20s to low 30s (most hunters begin early, near the time of the daily low temperature). The historical probability of receiving measurable precipitation for the first week of November is approximately 25%. Early November precipitation often falls as snow in the north, while rain is more likely in the south. An enduring, winter-long snow cover is typically not established until later in November, even in northern Minnesota."

As we head through Sunday, precipitation will start to move into the state. It'll start first in the late morning hours across northwestern Minnesota, with chances increasing into central Minnesota by sunset. The best chance of this falling as snow during the daytime hours on Sunday will be from Grand Forks to Red Lake to the higher elevations of the North Shore, with rain showers south of that.

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Cold Fronts Deflate Tire Pressure
By Paul Douglas

As temperatures deflate, so do your tires. Why does a sharp drop in temperature cause your tire pressure monitoring system (TPMS) to light up on your vehicle's dashboard?

As air temperatures fall the air becomes more dense. According to Consumer Reports, colder temperatures will cause tire pressure to drop about 1 pound per square inch for every 10F drop in air temperature. Checking your tires with a physical gauge once a month in the winter is a good way to see when it's time to add more air.

50F is possible Friday with 40s for highs into next week.

Nothing arctic, no slush in sight, but a cool bias hangs on into mid-November. Will El Nino keep us milder this winter? I sure hope so.

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Paul's Extended Twin Cities Forecast

THURSDAY: Intervals of sun, "milder". Wake up 26. High 40. Chance of precipitation 10%. Wind SW 7-12 mph.

SATURDAY: Patchy clouds, a dry sky. Wake up 28. High 47. Chance of precipitation 20%. Wind S 5-10 mph.

SUNDAY: Rain likely. Wake up 37. High 45. Chance of precipitation 80%. Wind SE 10-15 mph.

MONDAY: Still damp with light rain. Wake up 38. High 41. Chance of precipitation 70%. Wind NE 10-20 mph.

TUESDAY: Potential for more rain. Wake up 33. High 40. Chance of precipitation 70%. Wind SE 8-13 mph.

WEDNESDAY: Pasty clouds, drab. Wake up 34. High 39. Chance of precipitation 20%. Wind NE 5-10 mph.

Minneapolis Weather Almanac And Sun Data
November 2nd

*Length Of Day: 10 hours, 7 minutes, and 21 seconds
*Daylight LOST Since Yesterday: 2 minutes and 46 seconds

*When Do We Drop Below 10 Hours Of Sunlight? November 5th (9 hours, 59 minutes, 11 seconds)
*Latest Sunrise Before We "Fall Back": November 4th (7:55 AM)
*Earliest Sunset Before We "Fall Back": November 4th (5:57 PM)

Don't Forget - We "Fall Back" Sunday Morning At 2 AM!
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This Day in Weather History
November 2nd

1842: A mild spell occurs at Ft. Snelling, where the temperature rises to 60 degrees.

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The main story on Thursday will be in the Northwestern United States, where a system moving in will bring rain and snow chances to the region. Elsewhere, some showers are possible in eastern and southern Florida, and a few snow showers are still possible in the Great Lakes (though those will taper off throughout the day).

The heaviest rain through the end of the week will fall in the Northwest, where rainfall amounts of over 3" will be possible along the coast and at higher elevations.

Most of the lake effect snow in the Great Lakes will have occurred on Wednesday. However, with that system moving into the Northwest, we will watch the chance for several inches of snow from the Cascades to the Northern Rockies.

Environmental disasters and 'dark' tourism: The modern-day ghost towns created by the climate crisis

More from CNN: "Think of "ghost towns" and images of dusty, lost-to-time towns, like those in America's Wild West, may come to mind. Indeed, in the second half of the 19th century, a slew of boomtown-gone-bust mining towns were deserted by residents as natural resources and economic viability dried up. Over time, some of these relics have found new life as fun and kitschy tourist attractions. And while iterations of such abandoned settlements are found on every continent, with varying manmade and natural causes to blame, a new era of ghost towns is now emerging that, while eerie, feels far off from good touristic fun. Climate change and ensuing environmental disasters – marked by an increasing frequency and intensity of destructive floods, droughts, storms, wildfires and extreme temperatures – are now fueling what experts say are just the first waves of places abandoned due to climate displacement."

Ravaged Florida Town Becomes a Magnet for Risk-Taking Homebuyers

More from Bloomberg: "A year after Hurricane Ian ripped through southwest Florida, wealthy risk-takers are transforming one beach town. In Fort Myers Beach, many of the middle-class cottages that once dotted the Estero Island town were wiped off the map. Ian killed 21 people and swept away a third of the homes and businesses on the narrow, 6.5-mile-long strip of sand, leaving a blank canvas for affluent newcomers — and a preview of what could take hold in other coastal communities as climate change spawns more intense storms."

Google Bard asked Bill Nye how AI can help avoid the end of the world. Here's what 'The Science Guy' said

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Thanks for checking in and have a great day!

- D.J. Kayser