Thaw And More Significant Slush Coming
A snowy coating is possible today in the metro as another smear of light snow tracks north of MSP; a couple inches from Mille Lacs to Brainerd and Alexandria. A southern system may brush MSP with a little slush Friday, but most of the moisture stays south of town. Check the blog for more details. -Todd Nelson
It's still way too early to tell, but extended weather models are suggesting a fairly sizeable storm system developing in the middle part of the country next week. This storm could bring scattered showers and storms (some strong to severe) to the Southern US, with areas of heavy snow and wind on the colder, northern side of the storm. We'll definitely be watching this as it unfolds over the coming days. Stay tuned...
Milder December Temps Closer To Home
The temperature trend over the next several days shows milder temperatures returning to much of the Central US. Temperatures across the Upper Midwest (including Minnesota) could return to above average levels with highs back in the mid/upper 30s closer to home. Meanwhile, folks in the Western US will be dealing with cooler than average temps over the next several days.
Extended Temperature Outlook
The extended temperature outlook for Minneapolis through mid month shows milder temperatures returning as we approach the end of the week/weekend with highs back in the mid/upper 30s. Readings could take a bit of a hit once again as we approach the 3rd weekend of the month. Stay tuned...
Weather Outlook Through The Weekend
The extended weather outlook through early next week shows somewhat active weather in place across the Upper Midwest. Areas of light snow will be possible across Central Minnesota early Wednesday with more wintry precipitation possible Friday and into the Weekend. The big story appears to be the developing storm system early next week across the Midwest. Stay tuned as this system unfolds...
Extended Precipitation Outlook
The extended precipitation outlook through early next week shows a fairly decent blob of precipitation working into the region. Through Tuesday, some spots could pick up 0.50" to 1.00" (or more) of precipitation. Some of the precipitation could actually fall in the form of rain early next week.
Twin Cities Weather Outlook For Wednesday
Here's the weather outlook for the Twin Cities on Wednesday, December 7th, which looks fairly chilly with temps only warming into the low/mid 20s. There will be a cloudier skies and perhaps a few flakes in the morning, but skies should turn sunnier through the afternoon.
Weather Outlook on Wednesday
Temps across the region on Wednesday will be cooler than average by nearly -10F to -20F with some spots across the international border having a hard time warming above the 0F mark. There will also be areas of snow across the northern half of the state with minor accumulations possible.
Minor Snow Potential Through Midweek
The simulated radar through on Wednesday shows a fairly small blip of snow working through the Central part of Minnesota and into northern Wisconsin. The Twin Cities could get clipped, but a few flakes/flurries, but the best chance of any minor accumulations will be north of the Twin Cities.
Meteograms For Minneapolis
Temps on Wednesday will be chilly to start in the morning with readings in the mid teens. High temps late in the day will only warm into the lower 20s, which will be nearly -10F below average for early December. Skies will be a little cloudier in the morning with a few flurries possible in the northern metro, but there should be a little more sun by the afternoon. Winds will be out of the north around 10mph-15mph.
Hourly Feels Like Temps
Feels like temps will start in the single digits in the morning and will only warm into the mid teens by the afternoon. Wednesday will be the coldest day out of the next several.
Precipitation Departure From Average Since Jan. 1st
The Twin Cities is nearly nearly -9.45" below average for the year, which is the 18th driest start to any year on record (through December 5th). Meanwhile, International Fall, MN is still nearly 9.31"above average, which is still the 2nd wettest start to any year on record there.
Drought Update
It has been a dry year for many across central and southern MN. Extreme drought continues across parts of the Twin Cities to the Minnesota River Valley where rainfall deficits have been the greatest. It would be nice to get a good soaking prior to heading into winter, but it doesn't appear that anything substantial is on the way anytime soon.
Extended Temperature Outlook For Minneapolis
The extended temperature outlook for Minneapolis cooler than average temperatures continuing through midweek. Near average temperatures return later this week and into the weekend with a December thaw possibly into early next week!
Extended Weather Outlook For Minneapolis
The extended weather outlook over the next 7 days shows chillier than average temperatures in place through Wednesday before we warm up near the freezing mark this weekend. It could be quite a bit warmer early next week with rain/snow chances possible as well.
Extended Temperature Outlook For Minneapolis
Here's the ECMWF extended temperature outlook for Minneapolis through the middle part of December. It'll be quite chilly on Wednesday, but a modest December warmup will take us into the weekend and through most of next week with highs back in the mid/upper 30s.
8 to 14 Day Temperature Outlook
According to NOAA's Climate Prediction Center, the 8 to 14 day temperature outlook shows cooler than average temps across much of the Western US as we approach mid month. Warmer than average temps will be in place across the Northeastern US.
8 to 14 Day Precipitation Outlook
According to NOAA's Climate Prediction Center, the 8 to 14 Day precipitation outlook shows more active weather in place across the northern tier of the nation and especially in the Great Lakes/Northeast.
Thaw And More Significant Slush Coming
By Paul Douglas
Yes, I can hibernate while standing with my eyes wide open. Notice I don't blink. Look, if you tell yourself you're miserable, you will be miserable. No, a Minnesota winter is not a cold, crystalline near-death experience. It's a chance to look inward, retreat, regroup and slumber, after the sticky insanity of summer. If we didn't have real winters, our summers wouldn't seem nearly as magical. That's my take - your results may vary.
A snowy coating is possible today in the metro as another smear of light snow tracks north of MSP; a couple inches from Mille Lacs to Brainerd and Alexandria. A southern system may brush MSP with a little slush Friday, but most of the moisture stays south of town.
The next opportunity for a big full-latitude storm capable of pumping moisture from the Gulf of Mexico into Minnesota comes next Tuesday and Wednesday. Models hint at a mix of rain and snow for the Twin Cities, with plowable snow over roughly the northern half of MN. PS: a minor thaw is on the way. Hip hip hooray!
Extended Forecast
WEDNESDAY: Coating, 1-2" up north. Winds: NE 7-12. High: 21.
WEDNESDAY NIGHT: Mostly clear and quiet. Winds: N 5. Low: 10.
THURSDAY: Partly sunny, not as chilly. Winds: SE 5-10. High: 32.
FRIDAY: Snowy coating MSP, few inches south? Winds: E 5-10. Wake-up: 30. High: 34.
SATURDAY: Lingering clouds and flakes. Winds: SE 5-10. Wake-up: 31. High: 35.
SUNDAY: Mostly cloudy, thaw likely. Winds: SE 7-12. Wake-up: 31. High: 36.
MONDAY: Cloudy and breezy. Winds: SE 10-20. Wake-up: 30. High: 34.
TUESDAY: Rain-snow mix. Sloppy. Winds: SE 15-30. Wake-up: 32. High: 36.
This Day in Weather History
December 7th
1982: Due to unseasonably mild temperatures during the preceding weeks, a farmer near St. Bonifacius is able to bail his 4th crop of alfalfa hay on this day.
1927: A blizzard hits the Arrowhead region with heavy snows and 70 mph winds at Duluth.
Average High/Low for Minneapolis
December 7th
Average High: 32F (Record: 54F set in 1939)
Average Low: 18F (Record: -20F set in 1972)
Record Rainfall: 0.56" set in 1883
Record Snowfall: 6.3" set in 1927
Sunrise/Sunset Times for Minneapolis
December 7th
Sunrise: 7:37am
Sunset: 4:31pm
Hours of Daylight: ~8 hours & 54 minutes
Daylight LOST since yesterday: ~ 1 minute & 8 seconds
Daylight LOST since Summer Solstice (June 21st): ~ 6 hour & 42 minutes
Moon Phase for December 7th at Midnight
0.1 Days After Full "Cold" Moon
"10:08 p.m. CST - December is usually considered the month that the winter cold fastens its grip on the Northern Hemisphere. Sometimes this moon is referred to as the Long Nights Moon, and the nights are indeed at their longest. The moon is above the horizon a long time. On occasion, this moon was also called the Moon before Yule. This particular full moon makes its highest arc across the sky because it is opposite to the low sun. And on this very same night, another celestial object will also be opposite to the sun: Mars, which arrives at opposition 87 minutes after the moon turns full. Depending on your location, you will see Mars shining like a brilliant yellow-orange star, either hovering very close below the moon, or you will see the moon actually pass in front of Mars, producing an occultation."
National High Temps on Wednesday
The weather outlook on Wednesday shows cooler than average temps across the Midwest and Western US. Meanwhile, it'll be warmer than average across the eastern half of the nation. Some locations across the Gulf Coast could warm into the 80s.
National Weather Outlook Wednesday
The weather outlook for Wednesday shows active weather in place across the Southern and Eastern US with areas of rain and thunder. Some of the rainfall across the Central US could be heavy enough for isolated flood concerns.
National Weather Outlook
A stalled frontal boundary across the Central US will be responsible for widespread showers and storms with locally heavy rainfall. Some of the rain could be heavy enough for isolated flood concerns. Meanwhile, there is another developing storm late in the week across the Pacific Northwest.
Extended Precipitation Outlook
According to NOAA's Weather Prediction Center, the extended precipitation outlook shows heavy precipitation across the Western US and through the Intermountain-West. There will also be another heavier batch of rain in the Central US over the next several days.
Snowfall Potential
According to the ECMWF (European model), areas of heavy snowfall will be found in the Western US, especially in the high elevations. There could also be plowable snow across parts of the Midwest and Great Lakes through mid month. Stay tuned...
Climate Stories
"Puerto Rican Cities Sue Fossil Fuel Companies in Major Class-Action, Climate Fraud Case"
"Nearly 25 years ago, oil major Shell predicted in an internal 1998 report that a class-action lawsuit would be brought against fossil fuel companies following "a series of violent storms." That prediction is finally coming true: A group of Puerto Rican communities, which were ravaged by Hurricanes Irma and Maria in 2017, are suing Shell and other fossil fuel producers in a first-of-its-kind, class action climate liability lawsuit. The groundbreaking case — filed November 22 in the U.S. District Court for the District of Puerto Rico — is the first climate-related class action lawsuit in the United States filed against the fossil fuel industry to target the industry with federal charges of racketeering. It alleges that the fossil fuel defendants engaged in a coordinated, multi-front effort to promote climate denial and defraud consumers by concealing the climate consequences of fossil fuel products in order to inflate profits."
"See Webb's most beautiful image yet of the Pillars of Creation"
"One of the most famous space images of all time is the Hubble Space Telescope's image of the Pillars of Creation, originally taken in 1995 and revisited in 2014. This stunning structure of dust and gas is located in the Eagle Nebula and is remarkable both for its beauty and for the dynamic process of star formation going on within its clouds. Earlier this year, the James Webb Space Telescope took its own images of this natural wonder, capturing images in both the near-infrared and mid-infrared wavelengths. Now, both of Webb's images have been combined into one, showing a gorgeous new view of the famous structure."
"Grim Study Shows 10 Years of 'Carbon Offsets' in California Had No Climate Benefit"
"Many of the companies promising 'net zero' emissions to protect the climate are relying on vast swaths of forests and what are known as carbon offsets to meet that goal. On paper, carbon offsets appear to balance out a company's carbon emissions: The company pays to protect trees, which absorb carbon dioxide from the air. The company can then claim the absorbed carbon dioxide as an offset that reduces its net impact on the climate."
Thanks for checking in and don't forget to follow me on Twitter @TNelsonWX
But next week will end with comfortable 60s and 70s.