Opinion editor's note: Star Tribune Opinion publishes a mix of national and local commentaries online and in print each day. To contribute, click here.
•••
Few things rouse the senses quite like gas prices, and anxieties spike with talk of taxing it. When Minnesota lawmakers this spring boosted the state gas tax, a local TV reporter excitedly used charts to show rising pump prices as the levy — a nickel — kicks in next year.
But in reality, Minnesota's small tax bump won't affect pump prices (just as last year's silly proposal for a gas tax holiday to counter price-volatility would've had scant effect).
Gas pricing, says the Oil Price Information Service, is always driven by international supply and demand, and influenced by strength of the U.S. dollar, the currency basis for world pricing. Demand goes up and so does price, just as a weakened dollar requires more dollars for U.S. refiners to buy oil.
A nickel added to Minnesota's gas at $3.46 a gallon is 1.4% of pump price, hardly enough to move the needle.
There are local influences, like when a key refinery goes down and where a station is located. That's why price varies from one station to the next.
Also, notice that gas prices by state don't correlate with tax amounts. North Dakota and South Dakota gas costs $3.40 even though South Dakota's tax is 7 cents higher. Wisconsin and Iowa gas costs a few cents less than Minnesota's, while both tax at 5 cents higher. Florida gas is 12 cents less with a tax 14 cents higher.