Two stories in the Star Tribune the other day bumped into each other and made me think. The first, "GOP works to salvage health care plan" (March 15), concerns the raging national debate regarding repeal and replacement of the Affordable Care Act, and the analysis of the new Republican plan done by the Congressional Budget Office.
Nobody knows for sure the actual number of people who will lose their insurance under that new plan, or the shift in burden it will bring from one population to another, or how much the deficit will be reduced. But all would agree that they are all large numbers.
The Republican plan underscores an essential American truth regarding an individual's right to choose — in this case the right for an ostensibly healthy citizen to choose not to purchase health care coverage.
There is much debate over the impact this freedom of choice will have on overall insurance costs, although a general understanding is that costs will go up for those who choose coverage. That is a basic and irrefutable tenet of the concept of insurance — smaller pool, higher costs.
The question I have not heard debated is what happens when those who choose to stay out of coverage get sick. Let's say the number who lose/choose not to be covered is 24 million. We all know that, actuarially, some not-insignificant percentage of them will become sick. Not even the most callous Tea Party Republican will argue that they made their choice and need to live with it (or die with it, as the case may be). We have laws and we have history that tell us they will be admitted to the hospital, will undergo tests and procedures, and there will be a bill.
We all pay that bill. So what started as choice for the young and healthy becomes a real and collectible bill for the rest of us.
For those who pay the added expense of an unbalanced insurance market the cost of care becomes burdensome. Burdensome such that some postpone or forgo that screening mammogram or the colonoscopy at 50, or choose not to have that small lump looked at because deductibles are so high that people are essentially funding their own primary care.
What happens to us then? Again, actuarially, some of us pay the price, breast cancers go undiagnosed, polyps turn to cancer and lumps are seen too late to treat.