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There are at least three ways to think about how independents could have influence on American politics and American society.
First, there are independents who get elected to office by voters who chose them over Democrats and Republicans, as well as Democrats and Republicans who choose to switch their political identification to independent once they are in office.
Many scholars have argued that independents do not represent one ideological perspective, such as centrism. As a result, independents who reflect diverse ideological points of view would have a voice in Washington. Everyone ranging from Sens. Kyrsten Sinema, Angus King, Bernie Sanders and Joe Manchin to independent and third-party presidential candidates Ross Perot, Ralph Nader, Cornel West and Robert F. Kennedy Jr. would fit into this camp of independent politicians.
Second, voters who identify as independents could create a political movement which aimed to transform American politics. Along with getting new laws and regulations established, including ranked-choice voting, nonpartisan redistricting committees and open primaries, independent voters could work with independent politicians to change the system. Indeed, they could vie for the leadership role and overtake the Democrats and Republicans.
These independents, voters and politicians alike, would establish a multiparty democracy and end the controlling, suppressive elements of the two-party system. The authors of “The Independent Voter” (Thom Reilly, Jacqueline Salit and Omar Ali) would broadly fit into this camp.
Third, independents could elect enough independent politicians to create a third force on Capitol Hill, which could force the Democrats and Republicans, especially in the Senate, to negotiate with them. This is a variation of Charles Wheelan’s “fulcrum strategy” (from “The Centrist Manifesto”), which is focused on the Senate where 60 votes are needed to pass major legislation.