The biggest question heading into this season about the Timberwolves was just how high their ceiling was, as a team.
If 2022-23 established their floor — clunky offense, a major injury and a series of fits and starts produced a 42-win season, playoffs through the play-in and a quick though relatively competitive first-round loss — the hope was that this season would give us a better idea of how high they can go.
Through the early part of the schedule, it looks like the Wolves are a serious team. Their ceiling, assuming they continue to play well and avoid catastrophic injuries, looks to be finishing in the top four in a loaded Western Conference, winning at least one playoff series and then seeing where they go from there.
There are many keys to that, but one narrative — which colleague Jeff Day and I discussed on Wednesday's Daily Delivery podcast — that has been getting a lot of traction lately is that the Wolves will reach their true potential only if Karl-Anthony Towns plays at the high level he has achieved lately.
It's not so much a Catch-22, but when thinking about the Wolves there is this persistent thought of balancing the present with the future:
The Wolves are paying KAT, Anthony Edwards, Rudy Gobert and Jaden McDaniels about $95 million combined this season. Next year, those four will make about $155 million combined as Towns' supermax kicks in while Edwards and McDaniels start their lucrative second contracts.
It will be close to impossible to avoid being above the projected $172 million luxury tax threshold next season if all four of those players are on the roster, and completely impossible if we add in Naz Reid ($14 million).
So the Wolves will have a decision to make based on how this season plays out: Are they good enough to justify going above the luxury tax line and paying the financial price while also potentially limiting their roster flexibility?